Skip to main page content
U.S. flag

An official website of the United States government

Dot gov

The .gov means it’s official.
Federal government websites often end in .gov or .mil. Before sharing sensitive information, make sure you’re on a federal government site.

Https

The site is secure.
The https:// ensures that you are connecting to the official website and that any information you provide is encrypted and transmitted securely.

Access keys NCBI Homepage MyNCBI Homepage Main Content Main Navigation
. 2018 Dec 14;13(12):e0208417.
doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0208417. eCollection 2018.

Predicting peripartum blood transfusion in women undergoing cesarean delivery: A risk prediction model

Homa K Ahmadzia  1 , Jaclyn M Phillips  1 , Andra H James  2 , Madeline M Rice  3 , Richard L Amdur  4
Affiliations

Predicting peripartum blood transfusion in women undergoing cesarean delivery: A risk prediction model

Homa K Ahmadzia et al. PLoS One. .

Erratum in

Abstract

Objective: There has been an appreciable rise in postpartum hemorrhage requiring blood transfusions in the United States. Our objective is to better define patients at greatest risk for peripartum transfusion at the time of cesarean in order to identify cases for early intervention and monitoring.

Methods: Our study is a secondary analysis of a retrospective cohort study. Cases of intraoperative and immediate postpartum blood transfusion among women undergoing cesarean delivery were identified. Multivariable logistic regression models were used to identify antepartum and intrapartum risk factors that were independently associated with blood transfusion. A risk calculator was then developed to predict the need for transfusion.

Results: Of 56,967 women, 1488 (2.6%) required any blood transfusion. The strongest risk factors for peripartum blood transfusion included anemia (odds ratio [OR] 3.7, 95% CI 3.3-4.3), abruption on presentation (OR 3.3, CI 2.6-4.1), general anesthesia (OR 5.2, CI 4.4-6.1) and abnormal placentation (OR 92.0, CI 57.4-147.6). An antepartum (model 1) and combined antepartum plus intrapartum risk model (model 2) were developed (model 1 AUC = 0.77, model 2 AUC = 0.83) and internally validated.

Conclusions: Among women who required cesarean delivery, we were able to identify risk factors which predispose women to peripartum blood transfusion and developed a prediction model with good discrimination.

PubMed Disclaimer

Conflict of interest statement

The authors have declared that no competing interests exist.

Figures

Fig 1
Fig 1. Flow diagram of women included in prediction model.
Outlines who was included in the prediction model derivation and validation.
Fig 2
Fig 2. Calibration curves for Model 1 and Model 2.
Model 1 includes antepartum risk factors only and Model 2 includes antepartum and intrapartum risk factors. a. Model 1—Derivation Sample. Calibration of the model predicting transfusion using only antepartum variables. b. Model 1—Validation Sample. Calibration of the model predicting transfusion using only antepartum variables.
See this image and copyright information in PMC

Similar articles

See all similar articles

Cited by

See all "Cited by" articles

References

    1. Callaghan WM, Grobman WA, Kilpatrick SJ, Main EK, DʼAlton M. Facility-based identification of women with severe maternal morbidity: it is time to start. Obstet Gynecol. 2014;123: 978–81. 10.1097/AOG.0000000000000218 - DOI - PMC - PubMed
    1. Grobman WA, Bailit JL, Rice MM, Wapner RJ, Reddy UM, Varner MW, et al. Frequency of and factors associated with severe maternal morbidity. Obstet Gynecol. 2014;123: 804–810. 10.1097/AOG.0000000000000173 - DOI - PMC - PubMed
    1. Knight M, Callaghan WM, Berg C, Alexander S, Bouvier-Colle MH, Ford JB, et al. Trends in postpartum hemorrhage in high resource countries: A review and recommendations from the international postpartum hemorrhage collaborative group. Obstet Gynecol Surv. 2010;65: 211–212. 10.1097/01.ogx.0000371705.17102.c4 - DOI - PMC - PubMed
    1. McLintock C, James AH. Obstetric hemorrhage. J Thromb Haemost. 2011;9: 1441–1451. 10.1111/j.1538-7836.2011.04398.x - DOI - PubMed
    1. World Health Organization. WHO recommendations for the prevention and treatment of postpartum haemorrhage [Internet]. 2012. Available: http://www.who.int/reproductivehealth/publications/maternal_perinatal_he... - PubMed

Publication types

MeSH terms