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. 2019 Nov;129(11):2506-2513.
doi: 10.1002/lary.27807. Epub 2019 Jan 13.

Long-term Survival in Head and Neck Cancer: Impact of Site, Stage, Smoking, and Human Papillomavirus Status

Affiliations

Long-term Survival in Head and Neck Cancer: Impact of Site, Stage, Smoking, and Human Papillomavirus Status

Eugenie Du et al. Laryngoscope. 2019 Nov.

Abstract

Objectives/hypothesis: Literature examining long-term survival in head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC) with human papillomavirus (HPV) status is lacking. We compare 10-year overall survival (OS) rates for cases to population-based controls.

Study design: Prospective cohort study.

Methods: Cases surviving 5 years postdiagnosis were identified from the Carolina Head and Neck Cancer Study. We examined 10-year survival by site, stage, p16, and treatment using Kaplan-Meier and Cox proportional hazard models. Cases were compared to age-matched, noncancer controls with stratification by p16 and smoking status.

Results: Ten-year OS for HNSCC is less than controls. In 581 cases, OS differed between sites with p16+ oropharynx having the most favorable prognosis (87%), followed by oral cavity (69%), larynx (67%), p16- oropharynx (56%), and hypopharynx (51%). Initial stage, but not treatment, also impacted OS. When compared to controls matched on smoking status, the hazard ratio (HR) for death in p16+ oropharynx cases was 1.5 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.7-3.1) for smokers and 2.4 (95% CI: 0.7-8.8) for nonsmokers. Similarly, HR for death in non-HPV-associated HNSCC was 2.2 (95% CI: 1.7-3.0) for smokers and 2.4 (95% CI: 1.4-4.9) for nonsmokers.

Conclusions: OS for HNSCC cases continues to decrease 5 years posttreatment, even after stratification by p16 and smoking status. Site, stage, smoking, and p16 status are significant factors. These data provide important prognostic information for HNSCC.

Level of evidence: 2 Laryngoscope, 129:2506-2513, 2019.

Keywords: Head and neck neoplasms; human papillomavirus; oropharynx; smoking; survival.

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Conflict of interest statement

The authors have no other funding, financial relationships, or conflicts of interest to disclose.

Figures

Fig. 1.
Fig. 1.
Flowchart of patient selection and stratification. CHANCE = Carolina Head and Neck Cancer Study; HNSCC = head and neck squamous cell carcinoma; HP = hypopharynx; HPV = human papillomavirus; NOS = not otherwise specified; OC = oral cavity; OP = otopharyngeal; OPSCC = oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma.
Fig. 2.
Fig. 2.
Long-term overall survival of all head and neck squamous cell carcinoma patients alive 5 years after diagnosis stratified by tumor site (A) and initial overall stage (B) compared to age-matched controls. Weighted survival curve by tumor site (C) and by initial survival stage (D) adjusting group to control in terms of age, race, and smoking status. [Color figure can be viewed in the online issue, which is available at www.laryngoscope.com.]
Fig. 3.
Fig. 3.
Overall survival of (A) non–HPV-associated HNSCC and (B) HPV-associated OPSCC cases after 5 years stratified by smoking status (<10 pack-years vs. >10 pack-years) with associated 10-year OS and HRs. HRs indicate risk of death of cases when compared to controls with the same smoking status. CI = confidence interval; HNSCC = head and neck squamous cell carcinoma; HPV = human papillomavirus; HR = hazard ratio; OPSCC = oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma; OS = overall survival. [Color figure can be viewed in the online issue, which is available at www.laryngoscope.com.]

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