A novel scoring system based on hemostatic parameters predicts the prognosis of patients with advanced pancreatic cancer

Abstract

Objective: The aim of this study was to evaluate the prognostic value of pre-treatment plasma hemostatic parameters in patients with advanced pancreatic cancer.

Methods: A total of 320 patients diagnosed with advanced pancreatic cancer between January 1, 2011 to December 31, 2015 were enrolled in this retrospective study. The prognostic significance of hemostatic parameters such as prothrombin time (PT), activated partial thromboplastin time (APTT), fibrinogen (FBG), platelet count (PLT), mean platelet volume (MPV), plateletcrit (PCT), and platelet distribution width (PDW) was determined by univariate and multivariate Cox hazard models. Then, Kaplan-Meier methods and log-rank tests were performed to compare the survival of patients in different risk groups.

Result: Univariate and multivariate analyses showed that prolonged PT, high FBG, and high MPV were independent prognostic factors for poor overall survival (PT > 11.3 s, HR = 1.46, 95%CI = 1.10-1.94, p = 0.009; FBG>2.5 g/L, HR = 1.41, 95%CI = 1.08-1.84, p = 0.011; MPV>12.2 fL, HR = 1.52, 95%CI = 1.13-2.04, p = 0.005). Moreover, all the patients were stratified into three groups by a scoring system based on these three hemostatic markers. The median survival time of the three groups was 8.8 months, 6.3 months and 4.3 months (P < 0.001).

Conclusion: PT, FBG and MPV were independent prognostic factors in advanced pancreatic cancer. A novel scoring system based on these hemostatic parameters could be used to predict the survival of patients with advanced pancreatic cancer.

Keywords: Fibrinogen; Mean platelet volume; Pancreatic cancer; Prognosis; Prothrombin time.