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Meta-Analysis
. 2019 Mar;120(6):647-657.
doi: 10.1038/s41416-019-0393-x. Epub 2019 Feb 21.

Genome-wide association study of germline variants and breast cancer-specific mortality

Maria Escala-Garcia  1 Qi Guo  2 Thilo Dörk  3 Sander Canisius  1   4 Renske Keeman  1 Joe Dennis  5 Jonathan Beesley  6 Julie Lecarpentier  5 Manjeet K Bolla  5 Qin Wang  5 Jean Abraham  7   8   9 Irene L Andrulis  10   11 Hoda Anton-Culver  12 Volker Arndt  13 Paul L Auer  14   15 Matthias W Beckmann  16 Sabine Behrens  17 Javier Benitez  18   19 Marina Bermisheva  20 Leslie Bernstein  21 Carl Blomqvist  22   23 Bram Boeckx  24   25 Stig E Bojesen  26   27   28 Bernardo Bonanni  29 Anne-Lise Børresen-Dale  30   31   32   33   34   35   36   37   38   39 Hiltrud Brauch  40   41   42 Hermann Brenner  13   42   43 Adam Brentnall  44 Louise Brinton  45 Per Broberg  46 Ian W Brock  47 Sara Y Brucker  48 Barbara Burwinkel  49   50 Carlos Caldas  8   9   51 Trinidad Caldés  52 Daniele Campa  17   53 Federico Canzian  50 Angel Carracedo  54   55   56 Brian D Carter  57 Jose E Castelao  58 Jenny Chang-Claude  17   59 Stephen J Chanock  45 Georgia Chenevix-Trench  6 Ting-Yuan David Cheng  60 Suet-Feung Chin  61 Christine L Clarke  62 NBCS CollaboratorsEmilie Cordina-Duverger  63 Fergus J Couch  64 David G Cox  65   66 Angela Cox  47 Simon S Cross  67 Kamila Czene  68 Mary B Daly  69 Peter Devilee  70   71 Janet A Dunn  72 Alison M Dunning  7 Lorraine Durcan  73   74 Miriam Dwek  75 Helena M Earl  9   76 Arif B Ekici  77 A Heather Eliassen  78   79 Carolina Ellberg  46 Christoph Engel  80   81 Mikael Eriksson  68 D Gareth Evans  82   83 Jonine Figueroa  45   84   85 Dieter Flesch-Janys  86   87 Henrik Flyger  88 Marike Gabrielson  68 Manuela Gago-Dominguez  54   89 Eva Galle  24   25 Susan M Gapstur  57 Montserrat García-Closas  45   90 José A García-Sáenz  52 Mia M Gaudet  57 Angela George  91   92 Vassilios Georgoulias  93 Graham G Giles  94   95   96 Gord Glendon  10 David E Goldgar  97 Anna González-Neira  18 Grethe I Grenaker Alnæs  30 Mervi Grip  98 Pascal Guénel  63 Lothar Haeberle  99 Eric Hahnen  100   101 Christopher A Haiman  102 Niclas Håkansson  103 Per Hall  68   104 Ute Hamann  105 Susan Hankinson  106 Elaine F Harkness  107   108   109 Patricia A Harrington  7 Steven N Hart  110 Jaana M Hartikainen  111   112   113 Alexander Hein  16 Peter Hillemanns  3 Louise Hiller  72 Bernd Holleczek  114 Antoinette Hollestelle  115 Maartje J Hooning  115 Robert N Hoover  45 John L Hopper  95 Anthony Howell  116 Guanmengqian Huang  105 Keith Humphreys  68 David J Hunter  79   117   118 Wolfgang Janni  85 Esther M John  119   120   121 Michael E Jones  90 Arja Jukkola-Vuorinen  122 Audrey Jung  17 Rudolf Kaaks  17 Maria Kabisch  105 Katarzyna Kaczmarek  123 Michael J Kerin  124 Sofia Khan  125 Elza Khusnutdinova  20   126 Johanna I Kiiski  125 Cari M Kitahara  127 Julia A Knight  128   129 Yon-Dschun Ko  130 Linetta B Koppert  131 Veli-Matti Kosma  111   112   113 Peter Kraft  79   117 Vessela N Kristensen  30   31   32   33   34   35   36   37   38   39 Ute Krüger  46 Tabea Kühl  59 Diether Lambrechts  24   25 Loic Le Marchand  132 Eunjung Lee  102 Flavio Lejbkowicz  133 Lian Li  134 Annika Lindblom  135 Sara Lindström  136   137 Martha Linet  127 Jolanta Lissowska  138 Wing-Yee Lo  40   41 Sibylle Loibl  139 Jan Lubiński  123 Michael P Lux  99 Robert J MacInnis  94   95 Melanie Maierthaler  50 Tom Maishman  73   74 Enes Makalic  95 Arto Mannermaa  111   112   113 Mehdi Manoochehri  105 Siranoush Manoukian  140 Sara Margolin  141 Maria Elena Martinez  89   142 Dimitrios Mavroudis  93 Catriona McLean  143 Alfons Meindl  144 Pooja Middha  17   145 Nicola Miller  124 Roger L Milne  94   95 Fernando Moreno  52 Anna Marie Mulligan  146   147 Claire Mulot  148 Rami Nassir  149 Susan L Neuhausen  21 William T Newman  82   83 Sune F Nielsen  26   27 Børge G Nordestgaard  26   27   28 Aaron Norman  110 Håkan Olsson  46 Nick Orr  150 V Shane Pankratz  151 Tjoung-Won Park-Simon  3 Jose I A Perez  152 Clara Pérez-Barrios  153 Paolo Peterlongo  154 Christos Petridis  155 Mila Pinchev  133 Karoliona Prajzendanc  123 Ross Prentice  14 Nadege Presneau  75 Darya Prokofieva  126 Katri Pylkäs  156   157 Brigitte Rack  144 Paolo Radice  158 Dhanya Ramachandran  3 Gadi Rennert  133 Hedy S Rennert  133 Valerie Rhenius  7 Atocha Romero  153 Rebecca Roylance  159 Emmanouil Saloustros  160 Elinor J Sawyer  155 Daniel F Schmidt  95 Rita K Schmutzler  100   101 Andreas Schneeweiss  49   161 Minouk J Schoemaker  91 Fredrick Schumacher  162 Lukas Schwentner  85 Rodney J Scott  163   164   165   166 Christopher Scott  110 Caroline Seynaeve  115 Mitul Shah  7 Jacques Simard  167 Ann Smeets  168 Christof Sohn  161 Melissa C Southey  169   170 Anthony J Swerdlow  91   171 Aline Talhouk  172   173   174 Rulla M Tamimi  78   79   117 William J Tapper  175 Manuel R Teixeira  176   177 Maria Tengström  111   178   179 Mary Beth Terry  180 Kathrin Thöne  59 Rob A E M Tollenaar  181 Ian Tomlinson  182   183 Diana Torres  105   184 Thérèse Truong  63 Constance Turman  79 Clare Turnbull  91 Hans-Ulrich Ulmer  185 Michael Untch  186 Celine Vachon  110 Christi J van Asperen  187 Ans M W van den Ouweland  188 Elke M van Veen  82   83 Camilla Wendt  189 Alice S Whittemore  120   121 Walter Willett  79   190   191 Robert Winqvist  156   157 Alicja Wolk  192 Xiaohong R Yang  45 Yan Zhang  13   42 Douglas F Easton  5   7 Peter A Fasching  16   193 Heli Nevanlinna  125 Diana M Eccles  74 Paul D P Pharoah  5   7 Marjanka K Schmidt  1   194
Affiliations
Meta-Analysis

Genome-wide association study of germline variants and breast cancer-specific mortality

Maria Escala-Garcia et al. Br J Cancer. 2019 Mar.

Abstract

Background: We examined the associations between germline variants and breast cancer mortality using a large meta-analysis of women of European ancestry.

Methods: Meta-analyses included summary estimates based on Cox models of twelve datasets using ~10.4 million variants for 96,661 women with breast cancer and 7697 events (breast cancer-specific deaths). Oestrogen receptor (ER)-specific analyses were based on 64,171 ER-positive (4116) and 16,172 ER-negative (2125) patients. We evaluated the probability of a signal to be a true positive using the Bayesian false discovery probability (BFDP).

Results: We did not find any variant associated with breast cancer-specific mortality at P < 5 × 10-8. For ER-positive disease, the most significantly associated variant was chr7:rs4717568 (BFDP = 7%, P = 1.28 × 10-7, hazard ratio [HR] = 0.88, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.84-0.92); the closest gene is AUTS2. For ER-negative disease, the most significant variant was chr7:rs67918676 (BFDP = 11%, P = 1.38 × 10-7, HR = 1.27, 95% CI = 1.16-1.39); located within a long intergenic non-coding RNA gene (AC004009.3), close to the HOXA gene cluster.

Conclusions: We uncovered germline variants on chromosome 7 at BFDP < 15% close to genes for which there is biological evidence related to breast cancer outcome. However, the paucity of variants associated with mortality at genome-wide significance underpins the challenge in providing genetic-based individualised prognostic information for breast cancer patients.

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Conflict of interest statement

The authors declare no competing interests.

Figures

Fig. 1
Fig. 1
Association plot for the meta-analysis of the twelve datasets for breast cancer-specific mortality analyses (censored at 15 years) for a all breast tumours (censored at 15 years), b ER-negative tumours and c ER-positive tumours. The y-axis shows the −log10 P values of each variant analysed, and the x-axis shows their chromosome position. The red horizontal line represents P = 5 × 10−8
Fig. 2
Fig. 2
Q–Q plots for the meta-analysis of the twelve datasets for breast cancer-specific mortality analyses (censored at 15 years) for a all breast cancer tumours (censored at 15 years), b ER-negative tumours and c ER-positive tumours. The y-axis represents the observed −log10 P value, and the x-axis represents the expected −log10 P value. The red line represents the expected distribution under the null hypothesis of no association. Analyses were not corrected for LD-structure
Fig. 3
Fig. 3
Forest plot showing the association between the ER-negative variant rs67918676 and breast cancer-specific mortality in ER-negative tumours for the datasets used in the meta-analysis. The size of the square reflects the size of the study (see also Supplementary Table 3)
Fig. 4
Fig. 4
Forest plot showing the association between the ER-positive variant rs4717568 and breast cancer-specific mortality in ER-positive tumours for the datasets used in the meta-analysis. The size of the square reflects the size of the study (see also Supplementary Table 3)

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