Association of Very Early Serum Levels of S100B, Glial Fibrillary Acidic Protein, Ubiquitin C-Terminal Hydrolase-L1, and Spectrin Breakdown Product with Outcome in ProTECT III

Abstract

Rapid risk-stratification of patients with acute traumatic brain injury (TBI) would inform management decisions and prognostication. The objective of this serum biomarker study (Biomarkers of Injury and Outcome [BIO]-Progesterone for Traumatic Brain Injury, Experimental Clinical Treatment [ProTECT]) was to test the hypothesis that serum biomarkers of structural brain injury, measured at a single, very early time-point, add value beyond relevant clinical covariates when predicting unfavorable outcome 6 months after moderate-to-severe acute TBI. BIO-ProTECT utilized prospectively collected samples obtained from subjects with moderate-to-severe TBI enrolled in the ProTECT III clinical trial of progesterone. Serum samples were obtained within 4 h after injury. Glial fibrillary acidic protein (GFAP), S100B, αII-spectrin breakdown product of molecular weight 150 (SBDP150), and ubiquitin C-terminal hydrolase-L1 (UCH-L1) were measured. The association between log-transformed biomarker levels and poor outcome, defined by a Glasgow Outcome Scale-Extended (GOS-E) score of 1-4 at 6 months post-injury, were estimated via logistic regression. Prognostic models and a biomarker risk score were developed using bootstrapping techniques. Of 882 ProTECT III subjects, samples were available for 566. Each biomarker was associated with 6-month GOS-E (p < 0.001). Compared with a model containing baseline patient variables/characteristics, inclusion of S100B and GFAP significantly improved prognostic capacity (p ≤ 0.05 both comparisons); conversely, UCH-L1 and SBDP did not. A final predictive model incorporating baseline patient variables/characteristics and biomarker data (S100B and GFAP) had the best prognostic capability (area under the curve [AUC] = 0.85, 95% confidence interval [CI]: CI 0.81-0.89). Very early measurements of brain-specific biomarkers are independently associated with 6-month outcome after moderate-to-severe TBI and enhance outcome prediction.

Keywords: GFAP; S100B; UCH-L1; biomarker; traumatic brain injury.

FIG. 1.

Biomarker availability. Flow chart depicting the number of subjects with acute biomarker data available, within range, and with primary outcome.

FIG. 2.

Forest plot depicting the unadjusted and adjusted association between individual biomarkers and unfavorable outcome (Glasgow Outcome Scale-Extended [GOS-E] 1–4). The adjusted association includes age, gender, Rotterdam computed tomography (CT) score, and Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) score.

FIG. 3.

Rate of unfavorable outcome (Glasgow Outcome Scale-Extended [GOS-E] 1–4) as a function of the biomarker risk score. Rate of unfavorable outcome is the percentage of patients with a GOS-E score of 1–4 at 6 months after acute traumatic brain injury (TBI). The risk score is derived for each patient based on the number of high biomarker values.