Impact of emergency medicine training implementation on mortality outcomes in Kigali, Rwanda: An interrupted time-series study

Abstract

Introduction: Although emergency medicine (EM) training programmes have begun to be introduced in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs), minimal data exist on their effects on patient-centered outcomes in such settings. This study evaluated the impact of EM training and associated systems implementation on mortality among patients treated at the University Teaching Hospital-Kigali (UTH-K).

Methods: At UTH-K an EM post-graduate diploma programme was initiated in October 2013, followed by a residency-training programme in August 2015. Prior to October 2013, care was provided exclusively by general practice physicians (GPs); subsequently, care has been provided through mutually exclusive shifts allocated between GPs and EM trainees. Patients seeking Emergency Centre (EC) care during November 2012-October 2013 (pre-training) and August 2015-July 2016 (post-training) were eligible for inclusion. Data were abstracted from a random sample of records using a structured protocol. The primary outcomes were EC and overall hospital mortality. Mortality prevalence and risk differences (RD) were compared pre- and post-training. Magnitudes of effects were quantified using regression models to yield adjusted odds ratios (aOR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI).

Results: From 43,213 encounters, 3609 cases were assessed. The median age was 32 years with a male predominance (60.7%). Pre-training EC mortality was 6.3% (95% CI 5.3-7.5%), while post-training EC mortality was 1.2% (95% CI 0.7-1.8%), constituting a significant decrease in adjusted analysis (aOR = 0.07, 95% CI 0.03-0.17; p < 0.001). Pre-training overall hospital mortality was 12.2% (95% CI 10.9-13.8%). Post-training overall hospital mortality was 8.2% (95% CI 6.9-9.6%), resulting in a 43% reduction in mortality likelihood (aOR = 0.57, 95% CI 0.36-0.94; p = 0.016).

Discussion: In the studied population, EM training and systems implementation was associated with significant mortality reductions demonstrating the potential patient-centered benefits of EM development in resource-limited settings.

Keywords: Africa; Emergency medicine; Mortality; Rwanda; Training.

Fig. 1

Study Flow Diagram.

Fig. 2

Mortality Outcomes by Chronological Time. Note. CI, confidence interval; * Quarterly mortality proportions (Q1–Q4); Hashed line (- - -) demarcates the interval period from Nov. 2013 - Oct. 2015.