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Clinical Trial
. 2019 Apr 15;14(4):e0215322.
doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0215322. eCollection 2019.

Tuberculosis incidence among infected contacts detected through contact tracing of smear-positive patients

Affiliations
Clinical Trial

Tuberculosis incidence among infected contacts detected through contact tracing of smear-positive patients

Mario Martin-Sanchez et al. PLoS One. .

Abstract

Background: The contacts of people with pulmonary tuberculosis (PTB) have a high risk of becoming infected and developing tuberculosis (TB). Our aim was to determine the incidence of TB and its risk factors in a cohort of contacts with latent TB infection (LTBI) detected through contact tracing of smear-positive PTB cases.

Methods and findings: We performed a population-based retrospective cohort study including contacts that had LTBI, and were contacts of people with PTB who started treatment between 2008 and 2014. We followed up contacts until they developed TB or until the end date for follow-up (31st December 2016). We used Kaplan-Meier curves to compute incidence at 2 and 5 years, and Cox regression to compute hazard ratios (HR) and their 95% confidence intervals (CI). We analyzed 3097 close contacts of 565 PTB cases. After exclusion of 81 co-prevalent TB cases, 953 contacts had LTBI, of which 14 developed TB. Their risk of developing TB after two and five years was 0.7% (CI: 0.3-1.6) and 1.8% (CI: 1.1-3.1) respectively. Contacts who had not been referred for LTBI treatment had a 1.0% (CI: 0.2-4.0) risk at 5 years. Risk of developing TB at 5 years was 1.2% (CI: 0.5-3.0) among people who completed treatment, and 11.1% (CI: 5.1-23.3) for those who did not. Risk factors for TB were not completing LTBI treatment (HR 9.4, CI: 2.9-30.8) and being female (HR 3.5, CI: 1.1-11-3).

Conclusions: LTBI treatment plays a fundamental role in decreasing the risk of developing TB. It is necessary to achieve a maximum contact tracing coverage and the highest possible compliance with LTBI treatment.

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Conflict of interest statement

The authors have declared that no competing interests exist.

Figures

Fig 1
Fig 1. Results obtained from tracing and follow-up of close and frequent contacts of sputum smear-positive pulmonary tuberculosis cases.
Barcelona, 2008–2016. (TB: tuberculosis, LTBI: latent tuberculosis infection).
Fig 2
Fig 2. Incidence of tuberculosis among 953 infected contacts (close and frequent contacts) detected through contact tracing of sputum smear-positive pulmonary tuberculosis cases.
Results stratified by prescription and completion of latent tuberculosis infection treatment. Barcelona 2008–2016. Absolute value and 95% confidence intervals; TB: tuberculosis; LTBI: latent tuberculosis infection.
Fig 3
Fig 3. Cumulative risk of tuberculosis in 953 infected contacts (close and frequent contacts) detected through contact tracing of sputum smear-positive pulmonary tuberculosis cases stratified by prescription and completion of latent tuberculosis infection treatment.
Barcelona 2008–2016.

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