Blood Pressure, Chronic Kidney Disease Progression, and Kidney Allograft Failure in Kidney Transplant Recipients: A Secondary Analysis of the FAVORIT Trial

Abstract

Background: In chronic kidney disease, intensive systolic blood pressure (SBP) control reduces mortality at a cost of greater acute kidney injury risk. Kidney transplantation involves implantation of denervated kidneys and immunosuppressive medications that increase acute kidney injury risk. The optimal blood pressure (BP) target in kidney transplant recipients (KTRs) is uncertain. Prior observational studies from the Folic Acid for Vascular Outcome Reduction in Transplantation (FAVORIT) trial demonstrate associations of lower SBP levels and reduced mortality risk, but the relationship of BP with kidney allograft function remains unknown. Thus, in FAVORIT, we investigated the relationship of SBP and diastolic blood pressure (DBP) with risk of kidney allograft failure and estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) slope among stable KTRs.

Methods: Cox proportional hazards and multivariable linear regression models adjusted for demographics, transplant characteristics, comorbidities, baseline eGFR, and urine albumin-to-creatinine ratio were used to determine associations of SBP and DBP with time to a composite kidney outcome of ≥50% eGFR decline or dialysis dependence, and with annualized eGFR change, respectively. Multivariable restricted cubic spline plots were developed to evaluate the functional form of the relationships.

Results: Among 3,598 KTRs, mean age was 52 ± 9 years, SBP was 136 ± 20 mm Hg, DBP was 79 ± 12 mm Hg, and eGFR was 49 ± 18 ml/minute/1.73 m2. There were 369 events of ≥50% eGFR decline or dialysis dependence during a mean follow-up of 4.0 ± 1.5 years. There was no association of either SBP (compared with SBP 120 to <130 mm Hg, hazard ratio (HR) for the SBP < 110 was 1.01 (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.60 to 1.70) and 130 to <140 was 0.89 (0.64 to 1.24)) or DBP (compared with DBP 70 to <80 mm Hg, HR for the DBP 60 to <70 was 1.00 (95% CI 0.74 to 1.34) and 80 to <90 was 0.90 (0.68 to 1.18)) with the kidney failure outcome or annualized eGFR slope, and, when examined using restricted cubic splines, there was no evidence of "J"- or "U"-shaped relationships.

Conclusions: In a large sample of stable KTRs, we found no evidence of thresholds at which lower BPs were related to higher risk of allograft failure or eGFR decline. In light of prior findings of mortality benefit at low SBP, these observational findings suggest lower BP may be beneficial in KTRs. This important question requires confirmation in future randomized trials in KTRs.

Keywords: allograft dysfunction; blood pressure; estimated glomerular filtration; hypertension; kidney transplant.

Figure 1.

Flow chart of study participants.

Figure 2.

Adjusted spline plots for risk of ≥50% estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) decline or dialysis dependence and over the range of baseline systolic and diastolic blood pressure. HD, hemodialysis.

Figure 3.

Adjusted spline plots for annualized estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) decline over the range of baseline systolic and diastolic blood pressure.