Anti-müllerian Hormone for the Prediction of Ovarian Response in Progestin-Primed Ovarian Stimulation Protocol for IVF

Abstract

Background: The ability of anti-Müllerian hormone (AMH) to predict ovarian response has been studied extensively in gonadotropin-releasing hormone agonist and antagonist treatments, but no information is available regarding its value in progestin-primed ovarian stimulation (PPOS) protocol. Methods: This retrospective data analysis included 523 patients without polycystic ovary syndrome who underwent their first in vitro fertilization/intracytoplasmic sperm injection cycle with PPOS protocol at our center between Jan. 2015 and Jul. 2018. Serum AMH measurements were acquired within 12 months prior to ovarian stimulation using the automated Access AMH assay. Results: AMH exhibited a significantly positive correlation with the number of retrieved oocytes (r = 0.744, P < 0.001). For the prediction of poor (<4 oocytes) and high (>15 oocytes) response, AMH had an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.861 and 0.773, corresponding with an optimal cutoff point of 1.26 and 4.34 ng/mL, respectively. When stratified according to the dose of medroxyprogesterone acetate (MPA) (4 mg vs. 10 mg per day), AMH retained its similarly high predictive value for poor (AUC = 0.829 and 0.886, respectively) and high response (AUC = 0.770 and 0.814, respectively) in both groups. Amongst the 314 women who received their first frozen embryo transfer (FET) following PPOS protocol, no significant differences were observed on the rates of biochemical pregnancy, clinical pregnancy, implantation, early miscarriage, multiple pregnancy and ectopic pregnancy (all P > 0.05) across AMH quartiles (≤1.43, 1.44-2.55, 2.56-4.35, >4.35 ng/mL). In a multivariable logistic regression model, age was suggested to be the only independent risk factor for clinical pregnancy (P = 0.011). Conclusions: Our data demonstrated that AMH is an adequate predictor of both high and poor ovarian response in PPOS protocol regardless of MPA dose, but it does not associate with pregnancy outcomes in the first FET cycles in a freeze-all strategy.

Keywords: Anti-Müllerian hormone; freeze-all strategy; ovarian response; pregnancy; progestin-primed ovarian stimulation.

Figure 1

Receiver operating characteristic curves for AMH, AFC, basal FSH and age for ovarian response prediction. (A) Prediction of poor (<4 oocytes) response. (B) Prediction of high (>15 oocytes) response. The marked point is in correspondence with Youden index.

Figure 2

Receiver operating characteristic curves for AMH for ovarian response prediction according to the MPA dose. (A) Prediction of poor (<4 oocytes) response. (B) Prediction of high (>15 oocytes) response. The diagonal line is the reference line of no discrimination (area under the curve = 0.5).