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. 2019 Oct:53:81-86.
doi: 10.1016/j.jcrc.2019.06.001. Epub 2019 Jun 4.

Short- and long-term survival after severe acute pancreatitis: A retrospective 17 years' cohort study from a single center

Henrik Leonard Husu  1 , Ari Kalevi Leppäniemi  2 , Taru Marika Lehtonen  2 , Pauli Antero Puolakkainen  2 , Panu Juhani Mentula  2
Affiliations

Short- and long-term survival after severe acute pancreatitis: A retrospective 17 years' cohort study from a single center

Henrik Leonard Husu et al. J Crit Care. 2019 Oct.

Abstract

Purpose: To study mortality in severe acute pancreatitis (SAP) and to identify risk factors for mortality.

Materials and methods: A retrospective 17-years' cohort study of 435 consecutive adult patients with SAP treated at intensive care unit of a university hospital.

Results: Overall, 357 (82.1%) patients survived at 90 days follow-up. Three-hundred six (89.5%) patients under 60 years, 38 (60.3%) patients between 60 and 69 years, and 13 (43.3%) patients over 69 years of age survived at 90 days follow-up. Independent risk factors for death within 90-days were: 60 to 69 years of age (odds ratio [OR] 5.1), >69 years of age (OR 10.4), female sex (OR 2.0), heart disease (OR 2.9), chronic liver failure (OR 12.3), open abdomen treatment (OR 4.4) and sterile necrosectomy within 4 weeks (OR 14.7). The 10-year survival estimate was <70% in patients under 60 years and <30% in patients over 60 years. Underlying cause of death after the initial 90-day follow-up period was alcohol-related in 48 (57.1%) patients, and all of them had suffered from alcoholic SAP.

Conclusions: Although younger patients have excellent short-term survival after SAP, the long-term survival estimate is disappointing mostly due to alcohol abuse.

Keywords: Acute pancreatitis; Alcohol abuse; Intensive care; Mortality; Severe acute pancreatitis; Survival.

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