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Observational Study
. 2019 Oct;114(10):1816-1823.
doi: 10.1111/add.14653. Epub 2019 Jul 24.

Tobacco-21 laws and young adult smoking: quasi-experimental evidence

Affiliations
Observational Study

Tobacco-21 laws and young adult smoking: quasi-experimental evidence

Abigail S Friedman et al. Addiction. 2019 Oct.

Abstract

Aims: To estimate the impact of tobacco-21 laws on smoking among young adults who are likely to smoke, and consider potential social multiplier effects. Design Quasi-experimental, observational study using new 2016-17 survey data.

Setting: United States.

Participants/cases: A total of 1869 18-22-year-olds who have tried a combustible or electronic cigarette.

Intervention and comparators: Tobacco-21 laws raise the minimum legal sales age of cigarettes to 21 years. Logistic regressions compared the association between tobacco-21 laws and smoking among 18-20-year-olds with that for 21-22-year-olds. The older age group served as a comparison group that was not bound by these restrictions, but could have been affected by correlated factors. Age 16 peer and parental tobacco use were considered as potential moderators.

Measurements: Self-reported recent smoking (past 30-day smoking) and current established smoking (recent smoking and life-time consumption of at least 100 cigarettes).

Findings: Exposure to tobacco-21 laws yielded a 39% reduction in the odds of both recent smoking [odds ratio (OR) = 0.61; 95% confidence interval (CI) = 0.42, 0.89] and current established smoking (OR = 0.61; 95% CI = 0.39, 0.97) among 18-20-year-olds who had ever tried cigarettes. This association exceeded the policy's relationship with smoking among 21-22-year-olds. For current established smoking, the tobacco-21 reduction was amplified among those whose closest friends at age 16 used cigarettes (OR = 0.50; 95% CI = 0.29, 0.87), consistent with peer effects moderating the policy's impact on young adult smoking.

Conclusions: Tobacco-21 laws appear to reduce smoking among 18-20-year-olds who have ever tried cigarettes.

Keywords: Cigarettes; policy; smoking; tobacco control; tobacco-21; young adults.

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Conflict of interest statement

Declaration of Interests: None of the authors have any conflicts of interest with this research. Research was supported by grant #P50DA036151 from the National Institute on Drug Abuse and the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Center for Tobacco Products to Yale University. Neither the National Institutes of Health (NIH) nor the FDA had any role in the study’s design or conduct; the data’s collection, analysis, or interpretation; or the manuscript’s preparation. Content is solely the responsibility of the authors and does not necessarily represent the official views of the NIH or FDA.

Figures

Figure 1:
Figure 1:
Mechanism for Tobacco-21 Effect on Young Adult Smoking Notes: Solid arrows denote the policy’s direct effects on young adult behavior, while striped arrows denote indirect effects. If the individual and their peers respond to both the policy and each other’s behavior, these indirect effects will reinforce each other, such that the policy has an even greater impact on own and peer smoking. We refer to this as a social multiplier effect.

References

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