Drug-Placebo Additivity in Randomized Clinical Trials

Abstract

In randomized clinical trials (RCTs), it is assumed that nonspecific effects beyond action of pharmacological agents are roughly equivalent in drug and placebo treatment groups. Hence, since the inception of RCTs, drug efficacy is determined by comparing outcomes in active to those in placebo control arms. However, quantitation of efficacy is based on an unproven assumption, that drug and placebo responses are always additive. Response to treatment in RCTs can be differentially influenced by the perturbing effects of patient expectations, side effects, and pharmacogenomic interactions in both drug and placebo arms. Ability to control for these effects requires understanding of when and where they arise, how to mitigate, analyze, and even leverage their impact. Here, we examine three factors that influence additivity: expectation, side effects, and pharmacogenomics. Furthermore, to provide novel insights into nonadditivity and solutions for managing it, we introduce systems pharmacogenomics, a network approach to integrating and analyzing the effects of the numerous interacting perturbations to which a patient is exposed in RCTs.

Figure:

Expectation and genetic variation can result in differential effects in both the drug and placebo treatment arms that undermine the assumption of additivity.