On the multibin logarithmic score used in the FluSight competitions
- PMID: 31558612
- PMCID: PMC6800377
- DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1912147116
On the multibin logarithmic score used in the FluSight competitions
Conflict of interest statement
The author declares no conflict of interest.
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Comment in
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Reply to Bracher: Scoring probabilistic forecasts to maximize public health interpretability.Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2019 Oct 15;116(42):20811-20812. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1912694116. Epub 2019 Sep 26. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2019. PMID: 31558611 Free PMC article. No abstract available.
Comment on
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A collaborative multiyear, multimodel assessment of seasonal influenza forecasting in the United States.Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2019 Feb 19;116(8):3146-3154. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1812594116. Epub 2019 Jan 15. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2019. PMID: 30647115 Free PMC article.
References
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- Gneiting T., Raftery A. E., Strictly proper scoring rules, prediction, and estimation. J. Am. Stat. Assoc. 102, 359–378 (2007).
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- Held L., Meyer S., Bracher J., Probabilistic forecasting in infectious disease epidemiology: The 13th Armitage lecture. Stat. Med. 36, 3443–3460 (2017). - PubMed
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