Risk of developing metachronous advanced colorectal neoplasia after resection of low-risk diminutive versus small adenomas

Abstract

Background and aims: Current postpolypectomy guidelines classify 1 to 2 diminutive (1-5 mm) nonadvanced adenomas (NAAs) and 1 to 2 small (6-9 mm) NAAs as low-risk adenomas and recommend the same surveillance interval for both lesions. We compared the risk of metachronous advanced colorectal neoplasia (ACRN) for both groups.

Methods: We studied 8602 patients who underwent removal of ≥1 NAA and follow-up colonoscopic surveillance. Patients were categorized into 4 groups based on size and number of baseline NAAs: group 1, ≤2 diminutive NAAs (n = 6379); group 2, ≤2 small NAAs (n = 1672); group 3, ≥3 diminutive NAAs (n = 293); and group 4, ≥3 small NAAs (n = 258). Size was classified based on the largest NAA.

Results: The 5-year cumulative incidence rates of metachronous ACRN in groups 1, 2, 3, and 4 were 2.7%, 5.1%, 10.7%, and 15.1%, respectively. Groups 2, 3, and 4 had a higher risk of metachronous ACRN than group 1. Compared with group 1, the adjusted hazard ratios for metachronous ACRN were 2.06 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.46-2.91) for group 2, 2.75 (95% CI, 1.53-4.96) for group 3, and 4.49 (95% CI, 2.62-7.70) for group 4. However, the risk of metachronous ACRN was not significantly different between groups 3 and 4 (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.62; 95% CI, .76-3.44).

Conclusions: Among patients with ≤2 NAAs, patients with 1- to 5-mm NAAs had a lower risk of metachronous ACRN than those with 6- to 9-mm NAAs. The guidelines should consider extending surveillance intervals in patients with ≤2 diminutive NAAs.