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. 2020 Oct;26(Supp 1):i83-i95.
doi: 10.1136/injuryprev-2019-043484. Epub 2020 Feb 20.

The burden of unintentional drowning: global, regional and national estimates of mortality from the Global Burden of Disease 2017 Study

Richard Charles Franklin  1   2 Amy E Peden  2   3 Erin B Hamilton  4 Catherine Bisignano  4 Chris D Castle  4 Zachary V Dingels  4 Simon I Hay  4   5 Zichen Liu  4 Ali H Mokdad  4   5 Nicholas L S Roberts  4 Dillon O Sylte  4 Theo Vos  4   5 Gdiom Gebreheat Abady  6 Akine Eshete Abosetugn  7 Rushdia Ahmed  8   9 Fares Alahdab  10 Catalina Liliana Andrei  11 Carl Abelardo T Antonio  12   13 Jalal Arabloo  14 Aseb Arba Kinfe Arba  15 Ashish D Badiye  16 Shankar M Bakkannavar  17 Maciej Banach  18   19 Palash Chandra Banik  20 Amrit Banstola  21 Suzanne Lyn Barker-Collo  22 Akbar Barzegar  23 Mohsen Bayati  24 Pankaj Bhardwaj  25   26 Soumyadeep Bhaumik  27 Zulfiqar A Bhutta  28   29 Ali Bijani  30 Archith Boloor  31 Félix Carvalho  32 Mohiuddin Ahsanul Kabir Chowdhury  33   34 Dinh-Toi Chu  35 Samantha M Colquhoun  36 Henok Dagne  37 Baye Dagnew  38 Lalit Dandona  4   5   39 Rakhi Dandona  4   39 Ahmad Daryani  40 Samath Dhamminda Dharmaratne  4   41 Zahra Sadat Dibaji Forooshani  42 Hoa Thi Do  43 Tim Robert Driscoll  44 Arielle Wilder Eagan  45   46 Ziad El-Khatib  47   48 Eduarda Fernandes  49 Irina Filip  50   51 Florian Fischer  52 Berhe Gebremichael  53 Gaurav Gupta  54 Juanita A Haagsma  55 Shoaib Hassan  56 Delia Hendrie  57 Chi Linh Hoang  58 Michael K Hole  59 Ramesh Holla  60 Sorin Hostiuc  61   62 Mowafa Househ  63   64 Olayinka Stephen Ilesanmi  65 Leeberk Raja Inbaraj  66 Seyed Sina Naghibi Irvani  67 M Mofizul Islam  68 Rebecca Q Ivers  69 Achala Upendra Jayatilleke  70   71 Farahnaz Joukar  72 Rohollah Kalhor  73   74 Tanuj Kanchan  75 Neeti Kapoor  16 Amir Kasaeian  76   77 Maseer Khan  78 Ejaz Ahmad Khan  79 Jagdish Khubchandani  80 Kewal Krishan  81 G Anil Kumar  39 Paolo Lauriola  82 Alan D Lopez  4   83 Mohammed Madadin  84 Marek Majdan  85 Venkatesh Maled  86   87 Navid Manafi  88   89 Ali Manafi  90 Martin McKee  91 Hagazi Gebre Meles  92 Ritesh G Menezes  93 Tuomo J Meretoja  94   95 Ted R Miller  57   96 Prasanna Mithra  97 Abdollah Mohammadian-Hafshejani  98 Reza Mohammadpourhodki  99 Farnam Mohebi  100   101 Mariam Molokhia  102 Ghulam Mustafa  103   104 Ionut Negoi  105   106 Cuong Tat Nguyen  107 Huong Lan Thi Nguyen  107 Andrew T Olagunju  108   109 Tinuke O Olagunju  110 Jagadish Rao Padubidri  111 Keyvan Pakshir  112 Ashish Pathak  47   113 Suzanne Polinder  55 Dimas Ria Angga Pribadi  114 Navid Rabiee  115 Amir Radfar  116   117 Saleem Muhammad Rana  118   119 Jennifer Rickard  120   121 Saeed Safari  122 Payman Salamati  123 Abdallah M Samy  124 Abdur Razzaque Sarker  125 David C Schwebel  126 Subramanian Senthilkumaran  127 Faramarz Shaahmadi  128 Masood Ali Shaikh  129 Jae Il Shin  130   131 Pankaj Kumar Singh  132 Amin Soheili  133   134 Mark A Stokes  135 Hafiz Ansar Rasul Suleria  136 Ingan Ukur Tarigan  137 Mohamad-Hani Temsah  138   139 Berhe Etsay Tesfay  140 Pascual R Valdez  141   142 Yousef Veisani  143 Pengpeng Ye  144 Naohiro Yonemoto  145 Chuanhua Yu  146   147 Hasan Yusefzadeh  148 Sojib Bin Zaman  33   149 Zhi-Jiang Zhang  150 Spencer L James  151
Affiliations

The burden of unintentional drowning: global, regional and national estimates of mortality from the Global Burden of Disease 2017 Study

Richard Charles Franklin et al. Inj Prev. 2020 Oct.

Erratum in

Abstract

Background: Drowning is a leading cause of injury-related mortality globally. Unintentional drowning (International Classification of Diseases (ICD) 10 codes W65-74 and ICD9 E910) is one of the 30 mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive causes of injury-related mortality in the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study. This study's objective is to describe unintentional drowning using GBD estimates from 1990 to 2017.

Methods: Unintentional drowning from GBD 2017 was estimated for cause-specific mortality and years of life lost (YLLs), age, sex, country, region, Socio-demographic Index (SDI) quintile, and trends from 1990 to 2017. GBD 2017 used standard GBD methods for estimating mortality from drowning.

Results: Globally, unintentional drowning mortality decreased by 44.5% between 1990 and 2017, from 531 956 (uncertainty interval (UI): 484 107 to 572 854) to 295 210 (284 493 to 306 187) deaths. Global age-standardised mortality rates decreased 57.4%, from 9.3 (8.5 to 10.0) in 1990 to 4.0 (3.8 to 4.1) per 100 000 per annum in 2017. Unintentional drowning-associated mortality was generally higher in children, males and in low-SDI to middle-SDI countries. China, India, Pakistan and Bangladesh accounted for 51.2% of all drowning deaths in 2017. Oceania was the region with the highest rate of age-standardised YLLs in 2017, with 45 434 (40 850 to 50 539) YLLs per 100 000 across both sexes.

Conclusions: There has been a decline in global drowning rates. This study shows that the decline was not consistent across countries. The results reinforce the need for continued and improved policy, prevention and research efforts, with a focus on low- and middle-income countries.

Keywords: burden of disease; drowning; global.

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Conflict of interest statement

Competing interests: Dr. Franklin reports receiving airfare reimbursement from Royal Life Saving Society - Australia, during the conduct of the study. Dr. Bhaumik reports grants from Royal National Lifeboat Institution, UK, outside the submitted work. Dr. Driscoll reports grants from World Health Organization, during the conduct of the study. Dr. Ivers reports grants from Royal National LifeBoat Institute, outside the submitted work. Dr. Khubchandani reports grants from Merck Research Laboratories, outside the submitted work. Dr. James reports grants from Sanofi Pasteur, outside the submitted work.

Figures

Figure 1
Figure 1
Age-standardised cause-specific mortality rates per 100 000 by country for unintentional drowning in 2017.
Figure 2
Figure 2
All-age mortality by country for unintentional drowning in 2017.
Figure 3
Figure 3
Incidence of unintentional drowning mortality by age group, sex and super-region in 2017.
Figure 4
Figure 4
Incidence of unintentional drowning mortality by region, sex and five age groups in 2017.
Figure 5
Figure 5
Years of life lost to unintentional drowning by age group, sex and super-region in 2017.
Figure 6
Figure 6
Years of life lost to unintentional drowning by region, sex and five age groups, 2017.
Figure 7
Figure 7
Age-standardised cause-specific mortality rate per 100 000 for unintentional drowning by year and super-region (1990–2017).

References

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