Results of the spanish section of the European Randomized Study of Screening for Prostate Cancer (ERSPC). Update after 21 years of follow-up

Abstract

Introduction and objective: The objective of the European Randomized Study of Screening for Prostate Cancer (ERSPC) is to assess whether prostate cancer (PCa) screening leads to an improvement of cancer-specific survival. This multicenter study (eight European countries) has recruited more than 180,000 asymptomatic men. After a follow-up period of 16 years, it has been shown that PSA screening reduces PCa mortality by 20%, and that it does not affect all-cause mortality. This article provides updated the results of the Spanish arm of the ERSPC after 21 years of follow-up.

Materials and methods: The study invited 18,612 men (aged 45 - 70) of the Spanish section (Getafe and Parla, Madrid) to participate. They were randomly assigned to the intervention arm (serum PSA-based screening) and to the control arm (follow-up without intervention). The diagnoses of PCa were recorded, as well as the PCa-specific and all-cause mortality rates. A comparison between the survival curves of both arms of the study and detailed analysis of the causes of death were performed.

Results: The study finally included 4,276 men (2,415 intervention arm, 1,861 control arm). The median age, serum PSA and follow-up time were 57 years, 0.9 ng/ml and 21.1 years, respectively. There were 285 cases with PCa diagnosis, 188 (7.8%) from the intervention arm and 97 (5.2%) from the control arm (p<,001). A total of 216 (75.8%) presented organ-confined disease. There were 994 deaths were recorded; 544 (22.5%) in the intervention arm and 450 (24.2%) in the control arm. No significant differences were detected between the arms of the study in terms of cancer-specific (p=.768) or all-cause (p=.192) mortality rates. The main cause of death was malignant tumors (492 patients, 49.5% of overall mortality), and the most frequent sites were lung and bronchus (29.5%), colon and rectum (14.8%), and hematologic (9.8%). Only 20 patients (0.4% of the patients recruited) died from PCa, with no significant difference between study arms.

Conclusions: In this update of the results of the Spanish section of the ERSPC study after 21 years of follow-up, we have not detected a benefit of PCa screening in terms of overall and cancer-specific survival.

Keywords: Causa de muerte; Cribado; Death cause; Neoplasias prostáticas; Prostatic neoplasms; Screening.