New coronavirus outbreak: Framing questions for pandemic prevention

Scott P Layne^{1

2

3

4}, James M Hyman^{1

2

3

4}, David M Morens^{1

2

3

4}, Jeffery K Taubenberger^{5

6

7

8}

Affiliations

¹ Scott P. Layne is emeritus professor in the Department of Epidemiology, UCLA School of Public Health, Los Angeles, CA 90095, USA. Email: scottplayne@gmail.com.
² James M. Hyman is the Evelyn and John G. Phillips Distinguished Professor in Mathematics in the School of Science and Engineering, Tulane University, New Orleans, LA 70118, USA. Email: mhyman@tulane.edu.
³ David M. Morens is Senior Advisor to the Director in the Office of the Director, National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD 20892, USA. Email: dmorens@niaid.nih.gov.
⁴ Jeffery K. Taubenberger is Chief of the Viral Pathogenesis and Evolution Section, Laboratory of Infectious Diseases, National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD 20892, USA.
⁵ Scott P. Layne is emeritus professor in the Department of Epidemiology, UCLA School of Public Health, Los Angeles, CA 90095, USA. Email: scottplayne@gmail.com taubenbergerj@niaid.nih.gov.
⁶ James M. Hyman is the Evelyn and John G. Phillips Distinguished Professor in Mathematics in the School of Science and Engineering, Tulane University, New Orleans, LA 70118, USA. Email: mhyman@tulane.edu taubenbergerj@niaid.nih.gov.
⁷ David M. Morens is Senior Advisor to the Director in the Office of the Director, National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD 20892, USA. Email: dmorens@niaid.nih.gov taubenbergerj@niaid.nih.gov.
⁸ Jeffery K. Taubenberger is Chief of the Viral Pathogenesis and Evolution Section, Laboratory of Infectious Diseases, National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD 20892, USA. taubenbergerj@niaid.nih.gov.

PMID: 32161107
PMCID: PMC11000442
DOI: 10.1126/scitranslmed.abb1469

Editorial

New coronavirus outbreak: Framing questions for pandemic prevention

Scott P Layne et al. Sci Transl Med. 2020.

. 2020 Mar 11;12(534):eabb1469.

doi: 10.1126/scitranslmed.abb1469.

Authors

Scott P Layne^{1

2

3

4}, James M Hyman^{1

2

3

4}, David M Morens^{1

2

3

4}, Jeffery K Taubenberger^{5

6

7

8}

Affiliations

¹ Scott P. Layne is emeritus professor in the Department of Epidemiology, UCLA School of Public Health, Los Angeles, CA 90095, USA. Email: scottplayne@gmail.com.
² James M. Hyman is the Evelyn and John G. Phillips Distinguished Professor in Mathematics in the School of Science and Engineering, Tulane University, New Orleans, LA 70118, USA. Email: mhyman@tulane.edu.
³ David M. Morens is Senior Advisor to the Director in the Office of the Director, National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD 20892, USA. Email: dmorens@niaid.nih.gov.
⁴ Jeffery K. Taubenberger is Chief of the Viral Pathogenesis and Evolution Section, Laboratory of Infectious Diseases, National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD 20892, USA.
⁵ Scott P. Layne is emeritus professor in the Department of Epidemiology, UCLA School of Public Health, Los Angeles, CA 90095, USA. Email: scottplayne@gmail.com taubenbergerj@niaid.nih.gov.
⁶ James M. Hyman is the Evelyn and John G. Phillips Distinguished Professor in Mathematics in the School of Science and Engineering, Tulane University, New Orleans, LA 70118, USA. Email: mhyman@tulane.edu taubenbergerj@niaid.nih.gov.
⁷ David M. Morens is Senior Advisor to the Director in the Office of the Director, National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD 20892, USA. Email: dmorens@niaid.nih.gov taubenbergerj@niaid.nih.gov.
⁸ Jeffery K. Taubenberger is Chief of the Viral Pathogenesis and Evolution Section, Laboratory of Infectious Diseases, National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD 20892, USA. taubenbergerj@niaid.nih.gov.

PMID: 32161107
PMCID: PMC11000442
DOI: 10.1126/scitranslmed.abb1469

Abstract

We need to understand and quantify the dominant variables that govern the SARS-CoV-2 outbreak, rather than relying exclusively on confirmed cases and their geospatial spread.

PubMed Disclaimer

References

1. China CDC, Vital Surveillances: The Epidemiological Characteristics of an Outbreak of 2019 Novel Coronavirus Diseases (COVID-19)—China 2020; http://weekly.chinacdc.cn/en/article/id/e53946e2-c6c4-41e9-9a9b-fea8db1a.... - PMC - PubMed
1. Wu JT, Leung K, Leung GM, Nowcasting and forecasting the potential domestic and international spread of the 2019-nCoV outbreak originating in Wuhan, China: a modelling study. Lancet, doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(20)30260-9, (2020). - DOI - PMC - PubMed
1. Kwok KO, Tang A, Wei VWI, Park WH, Yeoh EK, Riley S, Epidemic models of contact tracing: Systematic review of transmission studies of severe acute respiratory syndrome and middle east respiratory syndrome. Comput. Struct. Biotechnol. J 17, 186–194 (2019). - PMC - PubMed
1. Chan JF, Yuan S, Kok KH, To KK, Chu H, Yang J, Xing F, Liu J, Yip CC, Poon RW, Tsoi HW, Lo SK, Chan KH, Poon VK, Chan WM, Ip JD, Cai JP, Cheng VC, Chen H, Hui CK, Yuen KY, A familial cluster of pneumonia associated with the 2019 novel coronavirus indicating person-to-person transmission: A study of a family cluster. Lancet 395, 514–523 (2020). - PMC - PubMed
1. MIDAS Coordination Center, Models of Infectious Disease Agent Study (University of Pittsburgh, 2020); https://midasnetwork.us/.

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New coronavirus outbreak: Framing questions for pandemic prevention

Affiliations

New coronavirus outbreak: Framing questions for pandemic prevention

Authors

Affiliations

Abstract

References

Publication types

MeSH terms

Grants and funding

LinkOut - more resources

Full Text Sources

Miscellaneous