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. 2020 May 18;27(3):taaa042.
doi: 10.1093/jtm/taaa042.

Routes for COVID-19 importation in Brazil

Darlan Da S Candido  1 , Alexander Watts  2   3 , Leandro Abade  1 , Moritz U G Kraemer  1   4   5 , Oliver G Pybus  1   6 , Julio Croda  7   8   9 , Wanderson de Oliveira  7 , Kamran Khan  2   3 , Ester C Sabino  10 , Nuno R Faria  1   10   11
Affiliations

Routes for COVID-19 importation in Brazil

Darlan Da S Candido et al. J Travel Med. .

Abstract

The global outbreak caused by the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus-2 (SARS-CoV-2) has been declared a pandemic by the World Health Organization. As the number of imported SARS-CoV-2 cases is on the rise in Brazil, we use incidence and historical air travel data to estimate the most important routes of importation into the country.

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Figures

Figure 1
Figure 1
Potential for COVID-19 importation in Brazil. (A) Map of Brazilian federal states and federal district coloured according to COVID-19 notification status (as of 10 March 2020). Circles correspond to the estimated proportion of arrivals from the top 29 destinations (except Iran and Portugal) that had reported local COVID-19 by 5 March 2020. (B) Percentage of passengers for the top-20 routes to Brazilian airports from countries that had reported COVID-19 cases by 5 March 2020. (C) Estimated percentage of importations for the top-20 routes from countries that had reported local COVID-19 by 5 March 2020.
See this image and copyright information in PMC

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