Improvement in sudden cardiac death risk prediction by the enhanced American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association strategy in Chinese patients with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy

Abstract

Background: The lack of validated and effective sudden cardiac death (SCD) risk prediction methods is the biggest barrier to perform the lifesaving treatment with a prophylactic implantable cardioverter-defibrillator in Chinese patients with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM).

Objective: This study aimed to evaluate the efficacy of 3 existing SCD risk prediction methods recommended by the 2011 American College of Cardiology Foundation and American Heart Association (ACCF/AHA) guideline, the 2014 European Society of Cardiology (ESC) guideline, and the 2019 enhanced American College of Cardiology (ACC)/AHA strategy in Chinese patients with HCM.

Methods: The present study consisted of 1369 consecutive adult patients with HCM without a history of SCD events. The primary end point was a composite of SCD and equivalent events, namely, resuscitation from cardiac arrest and appropriate implantable cardioverter-defibrillator shock therapy for ventricular tachycardia or fibrillation.

Results: During follow-up of 3.2 ± 2.4 years, 39 patients reached SCD end points, of whom 26 (66.7%) were correctly predicted as those at a high risk of SCD by using methods recommended by the 2019 enhanced ACC/AHA strategy, 20 (51.3%) by the 2011 ACCF/AHA guideline, but only 5 (12.8%) by the 2014 ESC guideline. The 2019 enhanced ACC/AHA strategy showed a higher C-statistic (0.647) for SCD prediction than did the 2011 ACCF/AHA guideline (0.598) and 2014 ESC guideline (0.605) and resulted in the correct reclassification of SCD risk when compared with the 2011 ACCF/AHA guideline (net reclassification index 0.113; P = .074) and 2014 ESC guideline (net reclassification index 0.245; P = .038).

Conclusion: The 2019 enhanced ACC/AHA strategy showed better predictive performance for SCD risk stratification in Chinese patients with HCM, with a notably high sensitivity.

Keywords: 2019 enhanced ACC/AHA strategy; Hypertrophic cardiomyopathy; Risk stratification; Sensitivity; Sudden cardiac death.