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. 2020 Apr 1;3(4):e206785.
doi: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2020.6785.

Epidemiological Assessment of Imported Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) Cases in the Most Affected City Outside of Hubei Province, Wenzhou, China

Yi Han  1 , Yi Liu  2 , Liyuan Zhou  1 , Enguo Chen  1 , Pengyuan Liu  1 , Xiaoqing Pan  3 , Yan Lu  2
Affiliations

Epidemiological Assessment of Imported Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) Cases in the Most Affected City Outside of Hubei Province, Wenzhou, China

Yi Han et al. JAMA Netw Open. .

Abstract

This decision analytical model describes several key epidemiological features of imported coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) cases in Wenzhou, China.

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Conflict of interest statement

Conflict of Interest Disclosures: None reported.

Figures

Figure.
Figure.. Dynamics of the Spread of Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19)
A, Confirmed cases and community containment approaches taken at different time points in Wenzhou. B, Comparison of simulated (lines) and reported (circles) cumulative cases in Wenzhou. Simulated cases were replicated with 5 different models. C, Measure intensity and total number of cases. In each scenario, 1 measure was changed to 0% to 90% of its baseline value on January 21, 2020, whereas the other 3 parameters remained unchanged. The consequence of changing measure intensity was evaluated by total number of cases 6 months later. D, Measure starting time and total number of cases. The consequence of delayed measure implementation was evaluated by total number of cases 6 months later. E, Estimated daily number of new cases in Wuhan. Simulated cases were replicated with 5 different models and are shown with lines; actual reported cases are shown with circles.
See this image and copyright information in PMC

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