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Comparative Study
. 2020 Jun:95:321-325.
doi: 10.1016/j.ijid.2020.04.031. Epub 2020 Apr 20.

Epidemic update of COVID-19 in Hubei Province compared with other regions in China

Wenjun Du  1 , Shaolei Han  2 , Qiang Li  3 , Zhongfa Zhang  4
Affiliations
Comparative Study

Epidemic update of COVID-19 in Hubei Province compared with other regions in China

Wenjun Du et al. Int J Infect Dis. 2020 Jun.

Abstract

Aims & background: The COVID-19 outbreak spread in China and is a threat to the world. The aims of this study to help health workers better understand the epidemic of the COVID-19 and provide different control strategies toward Hubei Province and other regions in China.

Methods: A comprehensive search of the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention official websites and announcements was performed between 20 Jan 2019 and 29 Feb 2020. The relevant data of the distribution of the infection on each reported day were obtained.

Results& findings: Up to 29 Feb 2020, 79,824 confirmed cases with the COVID-19 including 66,907 in Hubei Province and 12,377 in other administrative regions were reported. The SARS-COV-2 showed faster epidemic trends compared with the 2003-SARS-CoV. A total of 2,870 deaths have been reported nationwide among 79,824 confirmed cases, with a mortality of 3.6%. The mortality of the COVID-19 was significantly higher in Hubei Province than that in other regions(4.1% versus 0.84%). Since 1 Feb 2020 the number of discharged cases exceeded the number of the dead. By 29 Feb 2020, the number of discharged patients was 41,625, which exceeded the number of hospitalized patients, and the trend has further increased.

Conclusions: The infection of the SARS-COV-2 is spreading and increasing nationwide, and Hubei Province is the main epidemic area, with higher mortality. The outbreak is now under initial control especially in other regions outside of Hubei Province. Due to the different epidemic characteristics between Hubei Province and other regions, we should focus on different prevention and control strategies.

Keywords: COVID-19; Coronavirus; Epidemiology; Infection; SARS-COV-2.

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Figures

Fig. 1
Fig. 1
Comparision of trends between the SARS-CoV-2 and the 2003-SARS-CoV. The SARS-CoV-2 is more infectious and transmittable compared with the SARS-CoV.
Fig. 2
Fig. 2
Total number of confirmed cases nationwide. Up to 29 Feb 2020, the confirmed cases reached 79,824 in China, and the growth rate of confirmed cases is 0.01% nationwide.
Fig. 3
Fig. 3
Comparison of confirmed cases in Wuhan, Hubei Province, and other regions. Hubei Province is a major epidemic region for the COVID-19 in China.
Fig. 4
Fig. 4
Comparison of the growth rate of confirmed cases in Hubei Province and other regions. The growth rate of confirmed cases is significantly higher in Hubei Province than in other regions.
Fig. 5
Fig. 5
Comparison of suspected cases in Hubei Province and other regions. The number of suspected patients is significantly higher in Hubei Province than in other regions.
Fig. 6
Fig. 6
Comparison of new increased suspected cases in Hubei Province and other regions. The number of daily reported new suspected cases is significantly higher in Hubei Province than in other regions.
Fig. 7
Fig. 7
Cumulative deaths nationwide. The number of death is significantly higher in Hubei Province than in other regions.
Fig. 8
Fig. 8
Comparison of discharged cases and deaths. The number of discharged cases exceeds the number of the dead.
See this image and copyright information in PMC

References

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