Skip to main page content
U.S. flag

An official website of the United States government

Dot gov

The .gov means it’s official.
Federal government websites often end in .gov or .mil. Before sharing sensitive information, make sure you’re on a federal government site.

Https

The site is secure.
The https:// ensures that you are connecting to the official website and that any information you provide is encrypted and transmitted securely.

Access keys NCBI Homepage MyNCBI Homepage Main Content Main Navigation
Comment
. 2020 Jun;8(6):e778-e779.
doi: 10.1016/S2214-109X(20)30217-5. Epub 2020 Apr 30.

On the fallibility of simulation models in informing pandemic responses - Authors' reply

Affiliations
Comment

On the fallibility of simulation models in informing pandemic responses - Authors' reply

Joel Hellewell et al. Lancet Glob Health. 2020 Jun.
No abstract available

PubMed Disclaimer

Comment on

References

    1. Hellewell J, Abbott S, Gimma S. Feasibility of controlling COVID-19 outbreaks by isolation of cases and contacts. Lancet Glob Health. 2020;8:e488–e496. - PMC - PubMed
    1. Donnelly CA, Ghani AC, Leung GM. Epidemiological determinants of spread of causal agent of severe acute respiratory syndrome in Hong Kong. Lancet. 2003;361:1761–1766. - PMC - PubMed
    1. Bi Q, Wu Y, Mei S. Epidemiology and transmission of COVID-19 in Shenzhen China: analysis of 391 cases and 1,286 of their close contacts. medRxiv. 2020 doi: 10.1101/2020.03.03.20028423. published online March 27. (preprint). - DOI - PMC - PubMed
    1. Ng Y, Li Z, Chua YX. Evaluation of the effectiveness of surveillance and containment measures for the first 100 patients with COVID-19 in Singapore—January 2–February 29, 2020. MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep. 2020;69:307–311. - PMC - PubMed
    1. He X, Lau EHY, Wu P. Temporal dynamics in viral shedding and transmissibility of COVID-19. Nat Med. 2020 doi: 10.1038/s41591-020-0869-5. published online April 15. - DOI - PubMed