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. 2020 Sep;159(3):1164-1166.e3.
doi: 10.1053/j.gastro.2020.05.037. Epub 2020 May 17.

Impacts of the Coronavirus 2019 Pandemic on Gastrointestinal Endoscopy Volume and Diagnosis of Gastric and Colorectal Cancers: A Population-Based Study

Thomas K L Lui  1 , Kathy Leung  2 , Chuan-Guo Guo  1 , Vivien W M Tsui  1 , Joseph T Wu  2 , Wai K Leung  3
Affiliations

Impacts of the Coronavirus 2019 Pandemic on Gastrointestinal Endoscopy Volume and Diagnosis of Gastric and Colorectal Cancers: A Population-Based Study

Thomas K L Lui et al. Gastroenterology. 2020 Sep.
No abstract available

Keywords: ARIMA, autoregressive integrated moving average; CI, confidence interval; COVID-19, coronavirus disease 2019; Colonoscopy; Coronavirus; Gastroscopy; SARS-CoV; Staging.

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Figures

Figure 1
Figure 1
(A, B) Actual vs predicted numbers (by ARIMA) of endoscopy and cancers diagnosed per week: (A) gastric cancer and (B) colorectal cancer. (C, D) Prediction of changes in cancer staging with various durations of COVID-19 outbreak in Hong Kong: (C) gastric cancer and (D) colorectal cancer. The shaded areas and error bars represent 95% CIs.
Supplementary Figure 1
Supplementary Figure 1
Predicted effects of various levels of endoscopy volume reduction on percentage of patients with cancer upstaging on diagnosis. (A) Gastric cancer. (B) Colorectal cancer.
See this image and copyright information in PMC

References

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Supplementary References

    1. Hospital Authority. Hong Kong Cancer Registry. Available at: https://www3.ha.org.hk/cancereg/. Accessed Aug 19, 2020.
    1. Oh S.Y., et al. Ann Surg Oncol. 2019;26:2905–2911. - PubMed
    1. Li Z.F., et al. Zhonghua Liu Xing Bing Xue Za Zhi. 2017;38:253–260. - PubMed