Cancer attributable to human papillomavirus infection in China: Burden and trends

Abstract

Background: Human papillomavirus (HPV) is associated with a substantial percentage of cervical cancer, and a significant percentage of anal, penile, vaginal, vulvar, oral cavity, oropharyngeal, and laryngeal cancers. Understanding the burden and trends of HPV-attributable cancers is crucial to HPV prevention strategies. In the current study, the authors estimated the latest burden and trends of HPV-attributable cancers in China.

Methods: Data from the following sources were used. The number of new cancer cases and cancer deaths in China were estimated based on the China Cancer Registry Annual Report. The population-attributable fraction was estimated using pooled high-risk HPV prevalence and biomarker-positive rates, which were calculated using random effects meta-analyses. Cancer burden estimates were stratified by anatomic site, sex, and age.

Results: In 2015, a total of 110,650 new cancer cases and 36,714 cancer deaths attributable to HPV infection were estimated to have occurred in China, of which cervical cancer accounted for 85.6% and 78.1%, respectively. The age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) and age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR) of HPV-attributable cancers were 5.63 and 1.81 per 100,000 person-years, respectively. The ASIR and ASMR both varied by anatomic site, with the highest rates noted for cervical cancer at 4.83 and 1.42 per 100,000 person-years, respectively. Between 2005 and 2015, the ASIR and ASMR demonstrated significant upward trends for all HPV-attributable cancers combined.

Conclusions: Between 2005 and 2015, cervical cancer accounted for the vast majority of HPV-attributable cancers and its incidence and mortality increased rapidly in China. The comprehensive prevention of cervical cancer remains the most important target in the prevention of HPV-attributable cancers.

Keywords: China; burden; cancer; human papillomavirus; population-attributable fraction; trend.