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Editorial
. 2020 Nov 3;173(9):752-753.
doi: 10.7326/M20-2628. Epub 2020 Jun 18.

COVID-19 Across Africa: Epidemiologic Heterogeneity and Necessity of Contextually Relevant Transmission Models and Intervention Strategies

Jean Olivier Twahirwa Rwema  1 , Daouda Diouf  2 , Nancy Phaswana-Mafuya  3 , Jean Christophe Rusatira  4 , Alain Manouan  5 , Emelyne Uwizeye  6 , Fatou M Drame  7 , Ubald Tamoufe  8 , Stefan David Baral  1
Affiliations
Editorial

COVID-19 Across Africa: Epidemiologic Heterogeneity and Necessity of Contextually Relevant Transmission Models and Intervention Strategies

Jean Olivier Twahirwa Rwema et al. Ann Intern Med. .

Abstract

This commentary discusses the COVID-19 pandemic on the African continent. The authors describe why the international community should be hesitant in developing forecasts and prevention strategies for COVID-19 in the absence of integration of African data and leadership by African institutions.

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Conflict of interest statement

Disclosures: Disclosures can be viewed at www.acponline.org/authors/icmje/ConflictOfInterestForms.do?msNum=M20-2628.

References

    1. World Health Organization. Coronavirus disease (COVID-19): situation report, 140. Geneva: World Health Organization; 2020. Accessed at https://apps.who.int/iris/handle/10665/332389?show=full/ on 8 June 2020.
    1. United Nations Economic Commission for Africa. COVID-19 in Africa: Protecting lives and Economies. Addis Ababa, Ethiopia: United Nations Economic Commission for Africa; 2020. Accessed at www.uneca.org/publications/covid-19-africa-protecting-lives-and-economies/ on 25 April 2020.
    1. Achoki T, Alam U, Were L, et al. COVID-19 pandemic in the African continent: Forecasts of cumulative cases, new infections, and mortality. medRxiv. Preprint posted online 28 April 2020. doi:10.1101/2020.04.09.20059154
    1. Van Zandvoort K, Jarvis CI, Pearson C, et al. Response strategies for COVID-19 epidemics in African settings: a mathematical modelling study. medRxiv. Preprint posted online 3 May 2020. doi:10.1101/2020.04.27.20081711 - PMC - PubMed
    1. Carleton T, Meng KC. Causal empirical estimates suggest COVID-19 transmission rates are highly seasonal. medRxiv. Preprint posted online 30 March 2020. doi:10.1101/2020.03.26.20044420

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