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. 2020 Jul;20(7):715-719.
doi: 10.1111/ggi.13973.

Clusters of COVID-19 in long-term care hospitals and facilities in Japan from 16 January to 9 May 2020

Affiliations

Clusters of COVID-19 in long-term care hospitals and facilities in Japan from 16 January to 9 May 2020

Osamu Iritani et al. Geriatr Gerontol Int. 2020 Jul.

Abstract

Aim: To clarify the association of cluster number and size of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in long-term care (LTC) hospitals/facilities, general medical/welfare facilities and non-medical/welfare facilities with morbidity and mortality in 47 prefectures during 16 January to 9 May 2020 in Japan.

Methods: Information on COVID-19 clusters (n ≥2), and morbidity and mortality of COVID-19 was collected.

Results: A total of 381 clusters with 3786 infected cases were collected, accounting for 23.9% of 15 852 cumulated cases on 9 May 2020. Although the cluster number (/107 subjects) in LTC hospitals/facilities was significantly smaller compared with those in the other two groups, the cluster size in LTC hospitals/facilities was significantly larger than that in non-medical/welfare facilities. Cluster numbers in general medical/welfare facilities and in non-medical/welfare facilities were significantly positively correlated with morbidity (/105 ), indicating relatively early identification of clusters in these facilities. Unlike in these facilities, cluster size in LTC hospitals/facilities was significantly positively correlated with morbidity, indicating that clusters in LTC hospitals/facilities were finally identified after already having grown to a large size in areas where infection was prevalent. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that both cluster number and cluster size only in LTC hospitals/facilities were independently associated with higher mortality (≥median 0.64/105 subjects) after adjustment.

Conclusions: Preventive efforts against COVID-19 outbreaks even at the early phase of the epidemic are critically important in LTC hospitals/facilities, as both the larger number and size of clusters only in LTC hospitals/facilities were independently linked to higher mortality in prefectures in Japan. Geriatr Gerontol Int 2020; 20: 715-719.

Keywords: COVID-19; cluster; long-term care facility; morbidity; mortality.

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Figures

Figure 1
Figure 1
Daily COVID‐19 cases reported in Japan from 16 January to 9 May 2020. Derived from the website of the Japan Broadcasting Corporation (NHK).
Figure 2
Figure 2
Associations of cluster number (/107 subjects) with (a) morbidity (/105 subjects) and (b) mortality (/105 subjects) in prefectures in Japan. Red circles, clusters in long‐term care hospitals/facilities; green squares, clusters in general medical/welfare facilities; blue triangles, clusters in non‐medical/welfare facilities.
Figure 3
Figure 3
Associations of cluster size with (a) morbidity (/105 subjects) and (b) mortality (/105 subjects) in prefectures in Japan. Red circles, clusters in long‐term care hospitals/facilities; green squares, clusters in general medical/welfare facilities; blue triangles, clusters in non‐medical/welfare facilities.

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