Predicting lung nodules malignancy

Abstract

Background: It is critical to developing an accurate method for differentiating between malignant and benign solitary pulmonary nodules. This study aimed was to establish a predicting model of lung nodules malignancy in a real-world setting.

Methods: The authors retrospectively analysed the clinical and computed tomography (CT) data of 121 patients with lung nodules, submitted to percutaneous CT-guided transthoracic biopsy, between 2014 and 2015. Multiple logistic regression was used to screen independent predictors for malignancy and to establish a clinical prediction model to evaluate the probability of malignancy.

Results: From a total of 121 patients, 75 (62%) were men and with a mean age of 64.7 years old. Multivariate logistic regression analysis identified six independent predictors of malignancy: age, gender, smoking status, current extra-pulmonary cancer, air bronchogram and nodule size (p<0.05). The area under the curve (AUC) was 0.8573.

Conclusions: The prediction model established in this study can be used to assess the probability of malignancy in the Portuguese population, thereby providing help for the diagnosis of lung nodules and the selection of follow-up interventions.

Keywords: Diagnosis; Malignant tumour; Prediction model; lung cancer; lung nodule.