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. 2020 Aug 25;8(8):e20992.
doi: 10.2196/20992.

Nationwide Results of COVID-19 Contact Tracing in South Korea: Individual Participant Data From an Epidemiological Survey

Affiliations

Nationwide Results of COVID-19 Contact Tracing in South Korea: Individual Participant Data From an Epidemiological Survey

Seung Won Lee et al. JMIR Med Inform. .

Abstract

Background: Evidence regarding the effectiveness of contact tracing of COVID-19 and the related social distancing is limited and inconclusive.

Objective: This study aims to investigate the epidemiological characteristics of SARS-CoV-2 transmission in South Korea and evaluate whether a social distancing campaign is effective in mitigating the spread of COVID-19.

Methods: We used contract tracing data to investigate the epidemic characteristics of SARS-CoV-2 transmission in South Korea and evaluate whether a social distancing campaign was effective in mitigating the spread of COVID-19. We calculated the mortality rate for COVID-19 by infection type (cluster vs noncluster) and tested whether new confirmed COVID-19 trends changed after a social distancing campaign.

Results: There were 2537 patients with confirmed COVID-19 who completed the epidemiologic survey: 1305 (51.4%) cluster cases and 1232 (48.6%) noncluster cases. The mortality rate was significantly higher in cluster cases linked to medical facilities (11/143, 7.70% vs 5/1232, 0.41%; adjusted percentage difference 7.99%; 95% CI 5.83 to 10.14) and long-term care facilities (19/221, 8.60% vs 5/1232, 0.41%; adjusted percentage difference 7.56%; 95% CI 5.66 to 9.47) than in noncluster cases. The change in trends of newly confirmed COVID-19 cases before and after the social distancing campaign was significantly negative in the entire cohort (adjusted trend difference -2.28; 95% CI -3.88 to -0.68) and the cluster infection group (adjusted trend difference -0.96; 95% CI -1.83 to -0.09).

Conclusions: In a nationwide contact tracing study in South Korea, COVID-19 linked to medical and long-term care facilities significantly increased the risk of mortality compared to noncluster COVID-19. A social distancing campaign decreased the spread of COVID-19 in South Korea and differentially affected cluster infections of SARS-CoV-2.

Keywords: COVID-19; South Korea; contact tracing; coronavirus; epidemiology; health data; survey; transmission.

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Conflict of interest statement

Conflicts of Interest: None declared.

Figures

Figure 1
Figure 1
Our study population in each region (number of our study population/number of total patients with confirmed COVID-19). Of 9550 patients with confirmed COVID-19, there were 2134 patients with confirmed COVID-19 who completed the epidemiological surveillance.
Figure 2
Figure 2
Number of infections based on infection type (cluster and contact cases vs noncluster cases) in South Korea from January 19, 2020, to April 7, 2020.
Figure 3
Figure 3
Infection spread network visualization of COVID-19 in South Korea from January 19, 2020, to April 7, 2020. Each dot represents an individual, and each line represents an individual’s tracing results. Overseas influx and influx of community-acquired infections (Daegu and two cities in Gyeongbuk [Cheongdo and Gyeongsan]) are shown by 641 and 229 connected dots, respectively. CA: community-acquired.
Figure 4
Figure 4
Number of new confirmed COVID-19 cases over the study period. The dashed vertical line at March 22, 2020, indicates the launch of the social distancing campaign. The solid red (before the social distancing campaign) and blue (after the social distancing campaign) lines represent the linear trends of new confirmed COVID-19 cases. Shaded areas represent 95% CIs for the linear trends.

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