Skip to main page content
U.S. flag

An official website of the United States government

Dot gov

The .gov means it’s official.
Federal government websites often end in .gov or .mil. Before sharing sensitive information, make sure you’re on a federal government site.

Https

The site is secure.
The https:// ensures that you are connecting to the official website and that any information you provide is encrypted and transmitted securely.

Access keys NCBI Homepage MyNCBI Homepage Main Content Main Navigation
. 2022 Apr;16(2):718-725.
doi: 10.1017/dmp.2020.349. Epub 2020 Sep 10.

COVID-19: Second Wave or Multiple Peaks, Natural Herd Immunity or Vaccine - We Should be Prepared

Affiliations

COVID-19: Second Wave or Multiple Peaks, Natural Herd Immunity or Vaccine - We Should be Prepared

Rima Moghnieh et al. Disaster Med Public Health Prep. 2022 Apr.

Abstract

Between December 31, 2019, and August 30, 2020 (date of this article), the novel coronavirus and its corresponding infection, coronavirus disease (COVID-19), increased to more than 25 million cases, and 843 158 deaths have been registered. Countries around the world have been affected, albeit in different levels and intensities.Despite implementations of preventive public health measures, most countries are seriously preparing for 1 or more waves. The threat of this surge is likely to persist until herd immunity is acquired either by natural infection or through vaccination. However, given the time frame needed for herd immunity to occur and the low probability that a vaccine will be available on a global scale by the coming fall and winter seasons, contingency preparedness plans should be established and put in place for the coming days or months. These plans should help mitigate new peaks of the pandemic while relaxing the social isolation rules, patient, public health, and hospital levels.In this article, we discuss recommendations that practicing physicians and public health agencies should provide to individuals, especially those at risk of infection, to take and implement pre-emptive measures in anticipation of the potential next peak of the pandemic.

Keywords: COVID-19; comorbidities; contingency planning; herd immunity; preparedness; vaccination; vitamins; zinc.

PubMed Disclaimer

Conflict of interest statement

The authors have no conflicts of interest to declare.

References

    1. Ali I. COVID-19: Are we ready for the second wave? Disaster Med Public Health Prep. 2020;epub, 1-3. doi: 10.1017/dmp.2020.149. - DOI - PMC - PubMed
    1. Xu S, Li Y. Beware of the second wave of COVID-19. Lancet. 2020;395(10233):1321-1322. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(20)30845-X. - DOI - PMC - PubMed
    1. Bashir MF, Ma B, Bilal, et al. Correlation between climate indicators and COVID-19 pandemic in New York, USA. Sci Total Environ. 2020;728:138835. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.138835. - DOI - PMC - PubMed
    1. Tosepu R, Gunawan J, Effendy DS, et al. Correlation between weather and COVID-19 pandemic in Jakarta, Indonesia. Sci Total Environ. 2020;725:138436. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.138436. - DOI - PMC - PubMed
    1. Guan WJ, Zheng XY, Zeng GQ, Zhong NS. Severe acute respiratory syndrome: a vanished evil? J Thorac Dis. 2013;5 Suppl 2(Suppl 2):S87-89. doi: 10.3978/j.issn.2072-1439.2013.02.08. - DOI - PMC - PubMed