Skip to main page content
U.S. flag

An official website of the United States government

Dot gov

The .gov means it’s official.
Federal government websites often end in .gov or .mil. Before sharing sensitive information, make sure you’re on a federal government site.

Https

The site is secure.
The https:// ensures that you are connecting to the official website and that any information you provide is encrypted and transmitted securely.

Access keys NCBI Homepage MyNCBI Homepage Main Content Main Navigation
. 2020 Nov;49(11):1710-1721.
doi: 10.1007/s13280-020-01389-7. Epub 2020 Sep 13.

Nordic Bioeconomy Pathways: Future narratives for assessment of water-related ecosystem services in agricultural and forest management

Jelena Rakovic  1 , Martyn N Futter  2 , Katarina Kyllmar  1 , Katri Rankinen  3 , Marc I Stutter  4 , Jan Vermaat  5 , Dennis Collentine  6
Affiliations

Nordic Bioeconomy Pathways: Future narratives for assessment of water-related ecosystem services in agricultural and forest management

Jelena Rakovic et al. Ambio. 2020 Nov.

Abstract

Further development of the bioeconomy, the substitution of bioresources for fossil resources, will lead to an increased pressure on land and water resources in both agriculture and forestry. It is important to study whether resultant changes in land management may in turn lead to impairment of water services. This paper describes the Nordic Bioeconomy Pathways (NBPs), a set of regional sectoral storylines nested within the global Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP) framework developed to provide the BIOWATER research program with land management scenarios for projecting future developments to explore possible conflicts between land management changes and the Water Framework Directive (WFD). The NBPs are a set of narrative storylines capturing a range of plausible future trajectories for the Nordic bioeconomy until 2050 and that are fit for use within hydrological catchment modelling, ecosystem service studies and stakeholder dialogue about possible changes in agricultural and forestry management practices.

Keywords: Bioeconomy; Catchment modelling; Land use; Shared socioeconomic pathways; Storylines; Water quality.

PubMed Disclaimer

Figures

Fig. 1
Fig. 1
From global scenarios to catchment land use modelling
See this image and copyright information in PMC

Similar articles

See all similar articles

Cited by

See all "Cited by" articles

References

    1. Absar SM, Preston BL. Extending the shared socioeconomic pathways for sub-national impacts, adaptation, and vulnerability studies. Global Environmental Change. 2015;33:83–96. doi: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2015.04.004. - DOI
    1. Benton TG, Vickery JA, Wilson JD. Farmland biodiversity: Is habitat heterogeneity the key? Trends in Ecology & Evolution. 2003;18(4):182–188. doi: 10.1016/S0169-5347(03)00011-9. - DOI
    1. European Commission . A sustainable bioeconomy for Europe: Strengthening the connection between economy, society and the environment. Updated bioeconomy strategy. Brussels, Belgium: Directorate-General for Research and Innovation; 2018.
    1. Frame B, Lawrence J, Ausseil A-G, Reisinger A, Daigneault A. Adapting global shared socio-economic pathways for national and local scenarios. Climate Risk Management. 2018;21:39–51. doi: 10.1016/j.crm.2018.05.001. - DOI
    1. Graham NT, Davies EGR, Hejazi MI, Calvin K, Kim SH, Helinski L, Miralles-Wilhelm FR, Clarke L, et al. Water sector assumptions for the shared socioeconomic pathways in an integrated modeling framework. Water Resources Research. 2018;54:6423–6440. doi: 10.1029/2018WR023452. - DOI

Grants and funding

LinkOut - more resources