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. 2020 Oct 1;21(10):1105-1113.
doi: 10.1093/ehjci/jeaa192.

Incremental prognostic value of hybrid [15O]H2O positron emission tomography-computed tomography: combining myocardial blood flow, coronary stenosis severity, and high-risk plaque morphology

Affiliations

Incremental prognostic value of hybrid [15O]H2O positron emission tomography-computed tomography: combining myocardial blood flow, coronary stenosis severity, and high-risk plaque morphology

Roel S Driessen et al. Eur Heart J Cardiovasc Imaging. .

Abstract

Aims: This study sought to determine the prognostic value of combined functional testing using positron emission tomography (PET) perfusion imaging and anatomical testing using coronary computed tomography angiography (CCTA)-derived stenosis severity and plaque morphology in patients with suspected coronary artery disease (CAD).

Methods and results: In this retrospective study, 539 patients referred for hybrid [15O]H2O PET-CT imaging because of suspected CAD were investigated. PET was used to determine myocardial blood flow (MBF), whereas CCTA images were evaluated for obstructive stenoses and high-risk plaque (HRP) morphology. Patients were followed up for the occurrence of all-cause death and non-fatal myocardial infarction (MI). During a median follow-up of 6.8 (interquartile range 4.8-7.8) years, 42 (7.8%) patients experienced events, including 23 (4.3%) deaths, and 19 (3.5%) MIs. Annualized event rates for normal vs. abnormal results of PET MBF, CCTA-derived stenosis, and HRP morphology were 0.6 vs. 2.1%, 0.4 vs. 2.1%, and 0.8 vs. 2.8%, respectively (P < 0.001 for all). Cox regression analysis demonstrated prognostic values of PET perfusion imaging [hazard ratio (HR) 3.75 (1.84-7.63), P < 0.001], CCTA-derived stenosis [HR 5.61 (2.36-13.34), P < 0.001], and HRPs [HR 3.37 (1.83-6.18), P < 0.001] for the occurrence of death or MI. However, only stenosis severity [HR 3.01 (1.06-8.54), P = 0.039] and HRPs [HR 1.93 (1.00-3.71), P = 0.049] remained independently associated.

Conclusion: PET-derived MBF, CCTA-derived stenosis severity, and HRP morphology were univariably associated with death and MI, whereas only stenosis severity and HRP morphology provided independent prognostic value.

Keywords: coronary artery disease; coronary computed tomography angiography; high-risk plaque morphology; myocardial blood flow; positron emission tomography; prognosis.

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Figures

Graphical Abstract
Graphical Abstract
Figure 1
Figure 1
Distribution of hybrid PET-CT findings. Flowchart demonstrating the distribution of the hybrid PET-CT findings and revascularization performance among the three imaging parameters, i.e. PET perfusion abnormalities, CCTA-derived obstructive CAD, and CCTA-derived HRP. CAD, coronary artery disease; CCTA, coronary computed tomography angiography; CT, computed tomography; HRP, high-risk plaque; PET, positron emission tomography.
Figure 2
Figure 2
Survival analyses for death and MI according to imaging findings. Kaplan–Meier curves for survival free from myocardial infarction and all-cause death according to PET perfusion, CCTA-derived stenosis grade, and CCTA-derived high-risk plaque. CAD, coronary artery disease; CCTA, coronary computed tomography angiography; CT, computed tomography; HRP, high-risk plaque; MI, myocardial infarction; PET, positron emission tomography.
Figure 3
Figure 3
Survival analyses according to combined imaging findings. Kaplan–Meier curves demonstrating cumulative survival for death and MI according to combined hybrid PET-CT imaging findings. CAD, coronary artery disease; CCTA, coronary computed tomography angiography; CT, computed tomography; HRP, high-risk plaque; MI, myocardial infarction; PET, positron emission tomography.
Figure 4
Figure 4
Short-term and long-term survival analyses according to combined imaging stratified by high-risk plaques. Landmark analysis with Kaplan–Meier curves demonstrating cumulative survival of death and MI for short-term (4 years) and long-term follow-up, according to combined high-risk plaque with obstructive stenosis (A) and with abnormal flow (B). Survival was not significantly different at 4 years for patients without high-risk plaques (HRP), regardless of obstructive stenosis (CT, P = 0.21) or impaired myocardial blood flow (PET, P = 0.11). CAD, coronary artery disease; CCTA, coronary computed tomography angiography; CT, computed tomography; HRP, high-risk plaque; PET, positron emission tomography.

Comment in

  • The prognostic value of plaque.
    Williams MC, Dweck MR. Williams MC, et al. Eur Heart J Cardiovasc Imaging. 2020 Oct 1;21(10):1114-1115. doi: 10.1093/ehjci/jeaa208. Eur Heart J Cardiovasc Imaging. 2020. PMID: 32959060 No abstract available.

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