Performance of prediction models for COVID-19: the Caudine Forks of the external validation
- PMID: 33060155
- PMCID: PMC7562696
- DOI: 10.1183/13993003.03728-2020
Performance of prediction models for COVID-19: the Caudine Forks of the external validation
Abstract
Existing evidence suggests that none of the COVID-19 prediction models can be supported for clinical use. Here we discuss “what next” in COVID-19 prediction.
Conflict of interest statement
Conflict of interest: G.P. Martin has nothing to disclose. Conflict of interest: M. Sperrin has nothing to disclose. Conflict of interest: G. Sotgiu has nothing to disclose.
Comment on
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Systematic evaluation and external validation of 22 prognostic models among hospitalised adults with COVID-19: an observational cohort study.Eur Respir J. 2020 Dec 24;56(6):2003498. doi: 10.1183/13993003.03498-2020. Print 2020 Dec. Eur Respir J. 2020. PMID: 32978307 Free PMC article.
References
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- Steyerberg EW. Clinical Prediction Models. New York, Springer, 2009.
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- Riley RD, Windt D, Croft P, et al. Prognosis Research in Healthcare: Concepts, Methods, and Impact. Oxford, Oxford University Press, 2019.
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