Unplanned and medical admissions to pediatric intensive care units significantly decreased during COVID-19 outbreak in Northern Italy

Abstract

Northern Italy has been the first European area affected by the COVID-19 pandemic and related social restrictive measures. We sought to evaluate the impact of the COVID-19 outbreak on PICU admissions in Northern Italy, using data from the Italian Network of Pediatric Intensive Care Units Registry. We included all patients admitted to 4 PICUs from 8-weeks-before to 8-weeks-after February 24^th, 2020, and those admitted in the same period in 2019. Incidence rate ratios (IRR) evaluating incidence rate differences between pre- and post-COVID-19 periods in 2020 (IRR-1), as well as between the post-COVID-19-period with the same period in 2019 (IRR-2), were computed using zero-inflated negative binomial or Poisson regression modeling. A total of 1001 admissions were included. The number of PICU admissions significantly decreased during the COVID-19 outbreak compared to pre-COVID-19 and compared to the same period in 2020 (IRR-1 0.63 [95%CI 0.50-0.79]; IRR-2 0.70 [CI 0.57-0.91]). Unplanned and medical admissions significantly decreased (IRR-1 0.60 [CI 0.46-0.70]; IRR-2 0.67 [CI 0.51-0.89]; and IRR-1 0.52, [CI 0.40-0.67]; IRR-2 0.77 [CI 0.58-1.00], respectively). Intra-hospital, planned (potentially delayed by at least 12 h), and surgical admissions did not significantly change. Patients admitted for respiratory failure significantly decreased (IRR-1 0.55 [CI 0.37-0.77]; IRR-2 0.48 [CI 0.33-0.69]).Conclusions: Unplanned and medical PICU admissions significantly decreased during COVID-19 outbreak, especially those for respiratory failure. What is Known: • Northern Italy has been the first European area affected by the COVID-19 pandemic. • Although children are relatively spared from the severe COVID-19 disease, the pediatric care system has been affected by social restrictive measures, with a reported 73-88% reduction in pediatric emergency department admissions. What is New: • Unplanned and medical PICU admissions significantly decreased during the COVID-19 outbreak compared to pre-COVID-19 and to the same period in 2019, especially those for respiratory failure. Further studies are needed to identify associated factors and new prevention strategies.

Keywords: COVID-19; Children; Intensive care; Pandemic; Pediatric critical care; Pediatrics; Public health.

Fig. 1

a Overall trend of admissions to pediatric intensive care units in 2020 and 2019; b Trend of unplanned admissions; c Trend of admissions of patients with respiratory failure. Data refer to the period included from 8-weeks-before to 8-weeks-after the first administrative lockdown decree (24th February, green line). Lines represent the incidence rate and 95% confidence interval (dark gray area) modeling over time. Incidence rates and incidence rate ratios evaluating incidence rate differences between pre- and post-COVID-19 periods in 2020 (IRR-1), as well as between the post-COVID-19-period with the same period in 2019 (IRR-2), were computed using zero-inflated negative binomial or Poisson regression modeling, and bootstrapping process for CIs. N is the total count per subgroup