Dynamics of the COVID-19 basic reproduction numbers in different countries

Tianxiang Yue^{1

2

3}, Bin Fan^{1

2}, Yapeng Zhao^{1

2}, John P Wilson^{1

2

4}, Zhengping Du¹, Qing Wang⁵, Xiaozhe Yin⁶, Xiaonan Duan⁷, Na Zhao^{1

2}, Zemeng Fan^{1

2}, Hui Lin⁸, Chenghu Zhou^{1

2}

Affiliations

¹ State Key Laboratory of Resources and Environment Information System, Institute of Geographical Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, China.
² College of Resources and Environment, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100190, China.
³ College of Land Resources and Environment, Jiangxi Agricultural University, Nanchang 330045, China.
⁴ Spatial Sciences Institute, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA 90089-0374, USA.
⁵ China CDC Key Laboratory of Environment and Population Health, National Institute of Environmental Health, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing 100021, China.
⁶ Department of Preventive Medicine, Keck School of Medicine, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA 90032, USA.
⁷ Bureau for Frontier Sciences and Education, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100864, China.
⁸ School of Geography and Environment, Jiangxi Normal University, Nanchang 330022, China.

PMID: 33078079
PMCID: PMC7557808
DOI: 10.1016/j.scib.2020.10.008

Dynamics of the COVID-19 basic reproduction numbers in different countries

Tianxiang Yue et al. Sci Bull (Beijing). 2021.

. 2021 Feb 15;66(3):229-232.

doi: 10.1016/j.scib.2020.10.008. Epub 2020 Oct 15.

Authors

Affiliations

¹ State Key Laboratory of Resources and Environment Information System, Institute of Geographical Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, China.
² College of Resources and Environment, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100190, China.
³ College of Land Resources and Environment, Jiangxi Agricultural University, Nanchang 330045, China.
⁴ Spatial Sciences Institute, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA 90089-0374, USA.
⁵ China CDC Key Laboratory of Environment and Population Health, National Institute of Environmental Health, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing 100021, China.
⁶ Department of Preventive Medicine, Keck School of Medicine, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA 90032, USA.
⁷ Bureau for Frontier Sciences and Education, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100864, China.
⁸ School of Geography and Environment, Jiangxi Normal University, Nanchang 330022, China.

PMID: 33078079
PMCID: PMC7557808
DOI: 10.1016/j.scib.2020.10.008

No abstract available

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Conflict of interest statement

The authors declare that they have no conflict of interest.

Figures

**Fig. 1**
Curves of the natural logarithm of the basic reproduction number ( $l n R_{0}$ ) in the 6 countries with the largest cumulative numbers of infected individuals around the world: (a) United States of America, (b) India, (c) Brazil, (d) Russia, (e) Peru, and (f) Colombia. The dotted vertical line presents the date when the first intervention was launched.

See this image and copyright information in PMC

References

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1. Leung K., Wu J.T., Liu D. First-wave COVID-19 transmissibility and severity in China outside Hubei after control measures, and second-wave scenario planning: a modelling impact assessment. Lancet. 2020;395:1382–1393. - PMC - PubMed
1. Curtis A., Mills J.W., Blackburn J.K. A spatial variant of the basic reproduction number for the new orleans yellow fever epidemic of 1878. Prof Geogr. 2007;59:492–502.
1. Chladná Z., Kopfová J., Rachinskii D. Global dynamics of SIR model with switched transmission rate. J Math Biol. 2020;80:1209–1233. - PubMed
1. Yue T., Fan Z., Fan B. A new approach to modeling the fade-out threshold of coronavirus disease. Sci Bull. 2020;65:1225–1227. - PMC - PubMed

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Dynamics of the COVID-19 basic reproduction numbers in different countries

Affiliations

Dynamics of the COVID-19 basic reproduction numbers in different countries

Authors

Affiliations

Conflict of interest statement

Figures

References

LinkOut - more resources

Full Text Sources

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