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. 2020 Nov;26(11):2555-2564.
doi: 10.3201/eid2611.191766.

Measuring Timeliness of Outbreak Response in the World Health Organization African Region, 2017-2019

Measuring Timeliness of Outbreak Response in the World Health Organization African Region, 2017-2019

Benido Impouma et al. Emerg Infect Dis. 2020 Nov.

Abstract

Large-scale protracted outbreaks can be prevented through early detection, notification, and rapid control. We assessed trends in timeliness of detecting and responding to outbreaks in the African Region reported to the World Health Organization during 2017-2019. We computed the median time to each outbreak milestone and assessed the rates of change over time using univariable and multivariable Cox proportional hazard regression analyses. We selected 296 outbreaks from 348 public reported health events and evaluated 184 for time to detection, 232 for time to notification, and 201 for time to end. Time to detection and end decreased over time, whereas time to notification increased. Multiple factors can account for these findings, including scaling up support to member states after the World Health Organization established its Health Emergencies Programme and support given to countries from donors and partners to strengthen their core capacities for meeting International Health Regulations.

Keywords: Integrated Disease Surveillance and Response strategy; WHO African Region; WHO Health Emergencies Programme; World Health Organization; communicable diseases; disease outbreaks; foodborne diseases; internally-displaced populations; outbreak response; refugee populations; time to control; time to detection; time to notification; vaccine-preventable diseases; vector-borne diseases; waterborne diseases.

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Figures

Figure 1
Figure 1
Exclusion criteria used to select subset of substantiated disease outbreaks reported to the WHO African Region, 2017–2019. WHO, World Health Organization.
Figure 2
Figure 2
Geographic distribution of substantiated disease outbreaks selected in study of timeliness of key outbreak milestones in the WHO African Region, 2017–2019. CCHF, Crimean-Congo hemorrhagic fever; WHO, World Health Organization. cVDPV2, circulating vaccine-derived poliovirus type 2

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