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. 2021 Mar;26(2):e12812.
doi: 10.1111/anec.12812. Epub 2020 Oct 30.

Validation of electrocardiographic criteria for identifying left ventricular dysfunction in patients with previous myocardial infarction

Affiliations

Validation of electrocardiographic criteria for identifying left ventricular dysfunction in patients with previous myocardial infarction

Gopi Krishna Panicker et al. Ann Noninvasive Electrocardiol. 2021 Mar.

Abstract

Background: Eleven criteria correlating electrocardiogram (ECG) findings with reduced left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) have been previously published. These have not been compared head-to-head in a single study. We studied their value as a screening test to identify patients with reduced LVEF estimated by cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR) imaging.

Methods: ECGs and CMR from 548 patients (age 61 + 11 years, 79% male) with previous myocardial infarction (MI), from the DETERMINE and PRE-DETERMINE studies, were analyzed. Sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), and negative predictive value (NPV) of each criterion for identifying patients with LVEF ≤ 30% and ≤ 40% were studied. A useful screening test should have high sensitivity and NPV.

Results: Mean LVEF was 40% (SD = 11%); 264 patients (48.2%) had LVEF ≤ 40%, and 96 patients (17.5%) had LVEF ≤ 30%. Six of 11 criteria were associated with a significant lower LVEF, but had poor sensitivity to identify LVEF ≤ 30% (range 2.1%-55.2%) or LVEF ≤ 40% (1.1%-51.1%); NPVs were good for LVEF ≤ 30% (range 82.8%-85.9%) but not for LVEF ≤ 40% (range 52.1%-60.6%). Goldberger's third criterion (RV4/SV4 < 1) and combinations of maximal QRS duration > 124 ms + either Goldberger's third criterion or Goldberger's first criterion (SV1 or SV2 + RV5 or RV6 ≥ 3.5 mV) had high specificity (95.4%-100%) for LVEF ≤ 40%, although seen in only 48 (8.8%) patients; predictive values were similar on subgroup analysis.

Conclusions: None of the ECG criteria qualified as a good screening test. Three criteria had high specificity for LVEF ≤ 40%, although seen in < 9% of patients. Whether other ECG criteria can better identify LV dysfunction remains to be determined.

Keywords: cardiac magnetic resonance imaging; coronary artery disease; electrocardiology; left ventricular ejection fraction; myocardial infarction.

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Conflict of interest statement

None declared.

Figures

Figure 1
Figure 1
Distribution of left ventricular ejection fraction estimated from cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR) imaging in 548 patients included for the evaluation of ECG criteria
Figure 2
Figure 2
Negative predictive value (NPV), positive predictive value (PPV), specificity, and sensitivity and for each of the ECG criteria with LVEF cutoff of 30% (Panel a) and LVEF cutoff of 40% (Panel b). (N = 548)

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