Temporal variability in production is not consistently affected by global change drivers across herbaceous-dominated ecosystems
- PMID: 33130915
- DOI: 10.1007/s00442-020-04787-6
Temporal variability in production is not consistently affected by global change drivers across herbaceous-dominated ecosystems
Abstract
Understanding how global change drivers (GCDs) affect aboveground net primary production (ANPP) through time is essential to predicting the reliability and maintenance of ecosystem function and services in the future. While GCDs, such as drought, warming and elevated nutrients, are known to affect mean ANPP, less is known about how they affect inter-annual variability in ANPP. We examined 27 global change experiments located in 11 different herbaceous ecosystems that varied in both abiotic and biotic conditions, to investigate changes in the mean and temporal variability of ANPP (measured as the coefficient of variation) in response to different GCD manipulations, including resource additions, warming, and irrigation. From this comprehensive data synthesis, we found that GCD treatments increased mean ANPP. However, GCD manipulations both increased and decreased temporal variability of ANPP (24% of comparisons), with no net effect overall. These inconsistent effects on temporal variation in ANPP can, in part, be attributed to site characteristics, such as mean annual precipitation and temperature as well as plant community evenness. For example, decreases in temporal variability in ANPP with the GCD treatments occurred in wetter and warmer sites with lower plant community evenness. Further, the addition of several nutrients simultaneously increased the sensitivity of ANPP to interannual variation in precipitation. Based on this analysis, we expect that GCDs will likely affect the magnitude more than the reliability over time of ecosystem production in the future.
Keywords: Ecosystem function; Grasslands; Primary production; Sensitivity; Stability.
References
-
- Andresen LC, Müller C, de Dato G et al (2016) Shifting impacts of climate change: long-term patterns of plant response to elevated CO2, drought, and warming across ecosystems. In: Dumbrell AJ, Kordas RL, Woodward G (eds) Advances in Ecological Research. Oxford Academic Press, Oxford, UK, pp 437–473
-
- Avolio ML, Koerner SE, La Pierre KJ et al (2014) Changes in plant community composition, not diversity, during a decade of nitrogen and phosphorus additions drive above-ground productivity in a tallgrass prairie. J Ecol 102:1649–1660. https://doi.org/10.1111/1365-2745.12312 - DOI
-
- Borer ET, Seabloom EW, Gruner DS et al (2014) Herbivores and nutrients control grassland plant diversity via light limitation. Nature 508:517–520. https://doi.org/10.1038/nature13144 - DOI - PubMed - PMC
-
- Chamberlain S (2018) rnoaa: “NOAA” Weather Data from R. https://CRAN.R-project.org/package=rnoaa
-
- Clark JS, Carpenter SR, Barber M et al (2001) Ecological forecasts: an emerging imperative. Science 80-(293):657–660. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.293.5530.657 - DOI
MeSH terms
Grants and funding
LinkOut - more resources
Full Text Sources
