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Meta-Analysis
. 2020 Nov 4:371:m3811.
doi: 10.1136/bmj.m3811.

Associations between high temperatures in pregnancy and risk of preterm birth, low birth weight, and stillbirths: systematic review and meta-analysis

Matthew Francis Chersich  1 , Minh Duc Pham  2   3 , Ashtyn Areal  4 , Marjan Mosalam Haghighi  5 , Albert Manyuchi  6 , Callum P Swift  7 , Bianca Wernecke  8   9 , Matthew Robinson  10 , Robyn Hetem  11 , Melanie Boeckmann  12 , Shakoor Hajat  13 ; Climate Change and Heat-Health Study Group
Collaborators, Affiliations
Meta-Analysis

Associations between high temperatures in pregnancy and risk of preterm birth, low birth weight, and stillbirths: systematic review and meta-analysis

Matthew Francis Chersich et al. BMJ. .

Abstract

Objective: To assess whether exposure to high temperatures in pregnancy is associated with increased risk for preterm birth, low birth weight, and stillbirth.

Design: Systematic review and random effects meta-analysis.

Data sources: Medline and Web of Science searched up to September 2018, updated in August 2019.

Eligibility criteria for selecting studies: Clinical studies on associations between high environmental temperatures, and preterm birth, birth weight, and stillbirths.

Results: 14 880 records and 175 full text articles were screened. 70 studies were included, set in 27 countries, seven of which were countries with low or middle income. In 40 of 47 studies, preterm births were more common at higher than lower temperatures. Exposures were classified as heatwaves, 1°C increments, and temperature threshold cutoff points. In random effects meta-analysis, odds of a preterm birth rose 1.05-fold (95% confidence interval 1.03 to 1.07) per 1°C increase in temperature and 1.16-fold (1.10 to 1.23) during heatwaves. Higher temperature was associated with reduced birth weight in 18 of 28 studies, with considerable statistical heterogeneity. Eight studies on stillbirths all showed associations between temperature and stillbirth, with stillbirths increasing 1.05-fold (1.01 to 1.08) per 1°C rise in temperature. Associations between temperature and outcomes were largest among women in lower socioeconomic groups and at age extremes. The multiple temperature metrics and lag analyses limited comparison between studies and settings.

Conclusions: Although summary effect sizes are relatively small, heat exposures are common and the outcomes are important determinants of population health. Linkages between socioeconomic status and study outcomes suggest that risks might be largest in low and middle income countries. Temperature rises with global warming could have major implications for child health.

Systematic review registration: PROSPERO CRD 42019140136 and CRD 42018118113.

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Conflict of interest statement

Competing interests: All authors have completed the ICMJE uniform disclosure form at www.icmje.org/coi_disclosure.pdf and declare: support from NERC, RCN, and Forte in collaboration with Vetenskapsrådet, coordinated through a Belmont Forum partnership, for the submitted work. MFC and FS hold investments in the fossil fuel industry through their pension funds. The University of the Witwatersrand holds investments in the fossil fuel industry through their endowments and other financial reserves. AM is a member of the Global Change Institute, University of the Witwatersrand, where part of the administrative support is funded by Exxaro, which has interests in coal mining and renewable energy. MR has a pension fund with Irish Life, which includes investments in fossil fuel companies.

Figures

Fig 1
Fig 1
PRISMA flow diagram
Fig 2
Fig 2
Odds of preterm birth during heatwaves. Study details are given in supplementary table 2a
Fig 3
Fig 3
Odds of preterm birth per degree increase in temperature. Study details are given in supplementary table 2a
Fig 4
Fig 4
Odds of preterm birth at high versus low temperature (periods less than or equal to four weeks). Study details are given in supplementary table 2a
Fig 5
Fig 5
Analysis of associations between temperature and outcome by age of women during pregnancy. Purple shading indicates period of highest risk in studies that analysed with multiple age categories. Orange shading indicates studies with age as a binary variable, limiting the assessment of risk period. Data on whether differences between subgroups were significant were not provided for most comparisons. Only studies that showed a significant association between temperature and the outcome are included. *Only in Rome, one of six sites in the study. Study details are given in supplementary tables 2a, 2b, and 2c
Fig 6
Fig 6
Analysis of associations between temperature and outcome by race of mother. Purple shading indicates subgroups with the highest effect estimates. Orange shading indicates those at lowest risk. Study details are given in supplementary tables 2a, 2b, and 2c
See this image and copyright information in PMC

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