Availability and Quality of Surveillance and Survey Data on HIV Prevalence Among Sex Workers, Men Who Have Sex With Men, People Who Inject Drugs, and Transgender Women in Low- and Middle-Income Countries: Review of Available Data (2001-2017)

Abstract

Background: In 2019, 62% of new HIV infections occurred among key populations (KPs) and their sexual partners. The World Health Organization (WHO) recommends implementation of bio-behavioral surveys every 2-3 years to obtain HIV prevalence data for all KPs. However, the collection of these data is often less frequent and geographically limited.

Objective: This study intended to assess the availability and quality of HIV prevalence data among sex workers (SWs), men who have sex with men (MSM), people who inject drugs, and transgender women (transwomen) in low- and middle-income countries.

Methods: Data were obtained from survey reports, national reports, journal articles, and other grey literature available to the Global Fund, Joint United Nations Programme on HIV/AIDS, and WHO or from other open sources. Elements reviewed included names of subnational units, HIV prevalence, sampling method, and size. Based on geographical coverage, availability of trends over time, and recency of estimates, data were categorized by country and grouped as follows: nationally adequate, locally adequate but nationally inadequate, no recent data, no trends available, and no data.

Results: Among the 123 countries assessed, 91.9% (113/123) presented at least 1 HIV prevalence data point for any KP; 78.0% (96/123) presented data for at least 2 groups; and 51.2% (63/123), for at least 3 groups. Data on all 4 groups were available for only 14.6% (18/123) of the countries. HIV prevalence data for SWs, MSM, people who inject drugs, and transwomen were available in 86.2% (106/123), 80.5% (99/123), 45.5% (56/123), and 23.6% (29/123) of the countries, respectively. Only 10.6% (13/123) of the countries presented nationally adequate data for any KP between 2001 and 2017; 6 for SWs; 2 for MSM; and 5 for people who inject drugs. Moreover, 26.8% (33/123) of the countries were categorized as locally adequate but nationally inadequate, mostly for SWs and MSM. No trend data on SWs and MSM were available for 38.2% (47/123) and 43.9% (54/123) of the countries, respectively, while no data on people who inject drugs and transwomen were available for 76.4% (94/123) and 54.5% (67/123) of the countries, respectively. An increase in the number of data points was observed for MSM and transwomen. Overall increases were noted in the number and proportions of data points, especially for MSM, people who inject drugs, and transwomen, with sample sizes exceeding 100.

Conclusions: Despite general improvements in health data availability and quality, the availability of HIV prevalence data among the most vulnerable populations in low- and middle-income countries remains insufficient. Data collection should be expanded to include behavioral, clinical, and epidemiologic data through context-specific differentiated survey approaches while emphasizing data use for program improvements. Ending the HIV epidemic by 2030 is possible only if the epidemic is controlled among KPs.

Keywords: HIV prevalence; Key populations; low- and middle-income countries; men who have sex with men; people who inject drugs; sex workers; transgender women.

Figure 1

Decision tree depicting categorization of the subnational HIV prevalence data by key population and country. SNU₁: first-order subnational administrative unit, such as a province, state, or region.

Figure 2

HIV prevalence categorization by key population (2001-2017). Kosovo and Zanzibar are not included due to unavailability of their shapefiles.