Coagulation parameters predictive of repeated implantation failure in Chinese women: A retrospective study

Abstract

Repeated implantation failure (RIF) greatly influences pregnancy rate after assisted reproductive technologies (ART) with elusive causes. Our study aimed to explore coagulation parameters in association with RIF and establish a model to predict the risk of RIF in Chinese women.Coagulation parameters, including prothrombin time (PT), thrombin time (TT), activated partial prothrombin time (APTT), D-dimer (DD), fibrin degradation products (FDP), fibrinogen (FG), and platelet aggregation induced by arachidonic acid (AA) and adenosine diphosphate (ADP) were measured in RIF patients and controls. A logistic regression model was built by using the purposeful selection to select important factors for the prediction of RIF.Between 92 RIF patients and 47 controls, we found a statistically significant difference in all of the coagulation parameters except APTT, FDP and platelet aggregation induced by ADP. The purposeful selection method selected PT (odds ratio [OR] = 0.28, 95% CI: 0.12-0.66, P = .003), APPT (odds ratio [OR] = 0.76, 95% CI: 0.63-0.91, P = .004), TT (odds ratio [OR] = 0.75, 95% CI: 0.53-1.08, P = .124), and platelet aggregation induced by AA (odds ratio [OR] = 1.27, 95% CI: 1.11-1.44, P = .0003) as important predictors of RIF risk. ROC curve analysis indicated that the area under ROC curve (AUC) of the model was 0.85 with an optimal cut-off point of the predicted probability being P = .65, leading to a sensitivity of 0.83 and a specificity 0.75.We found that coagulation parameters including PT, APTT, TT and platelet aggregation induced by AA are predictive of RIF in Chinese women. Our results highlight the potential of anti-coagulation therapies to lower the risk of RIF.

Figure 1

ROC curve of the prediction model for RIF. AUC is 0.85 for the prediction model. ROC = receiver operating characteristic, AUC = under the ROC curve, RIF = repeated implantation failure.

Figure 2

Calibration plot of the prediction model. The dotted diagonal line represents the line of perfect calibration. The solid blue line represents the predicted probability versus the empirical probability. The blue shaded area represents the corresponding 95% confidence band. The calibration curve is close to the diagonal reference line, indicating that the predicted and empirical probabilities are similar and that the built prediction model fits the data well.