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. 2020;44(1):196.
doi: 10.1186/s42269-020-00451-4. Epub 2020 Nov 23.

How successful Bangladesh is in controlling the coronavirus pandemic?

Ayatullah Al Musabi Akanda  1 , Redwan Ahmed  2
Affiliations

How successful Bangladesh is in controlling the coronavirus pandemic?

Ayatullah Al Musabi Akanda et al. Bull Natl Res Cent. 2020.

Abstract

Background: The reported number of COVID-19 patients increases on average along with the increased laboratory tests in Bangladesh implying a possibility of the spread of deadly coronavirus being out of control. Contrary to that, the government claims that it controls the spread of coronavirus through undertaking stringent policy measures. This different scenario leads this study on whether these measures have any positive impact on controlling the pandemic.

Results: The results show that simulated number of patients (without policy measures) surpassed the actual number of patients (with policy measures) from the first week of July 2020 which may provide a signal about the positive impact of policy measures taken by the government.

Conclusion: This study concludes that policy measures taken by the government are useful to some extent in controlling the coronavirus pandemic. As this pandemic lingers, people may lose their patience to stay at home. Consequently, some of the policies need further correction and change.

Keywords: COVID-19; Coronavirus; Pandemic; SEIRD model; Simulation.

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Conflict of interest statement

Competing interestsThe authors declare that they have no competing interests.

Figures

Fig. 1
Fig. 1
Simulated spread scenario of COVID-19
Fig. 2
Fig. 2
Simulated and actual number of patients
Fig. 3
Fig. 3
Simulated and actual cases of death
See this image and copyright information in PMC

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