Association of race, ethnicity, and community-level factors with COVID-19 cases and deaths across U.S. counties
- PMID: 33285500
- PMCID: PMC7680060
- DOI: 10.1016/j.hjdsi.2020.100495
Association of race, ethnicity, and community-level factors with COVID-19 cases and deaths across U.S. counties
Abstract
The United States currently has one of the highest numbers of cumulative COVID-19 cases globally, and Latino and Black communities have been disproportionately affected. Understanding the community-level factors that contribute to disparities in COVID-19 case and death rates is critical to developing public health and policy strategies. We performed a cross-sectional analysis of U.S. counties and found that a 10% point increase in the Black population was associated with 324.7 additional COVID-19 cases per 100,000 population and 14.5 additional COVID-19 deaths per 100,000. In addition, we found that a 10% point increase in the Latino population was associated with 293.5 additional COVID-19 cases per 100,000 and 7.6 additional COVID-19 deaths per 100,000. Independent predictors of higher COVID-19 case rates included average household size, the share of individuals with less than a high school diploma, and the percentage of foreign-born non-citizens. In addition, average household size, the share of individuals with less than a high school diploma, and the proportion of workers that commute using public transportation independently predicted higher COVID-19 death rates within a community. After adjustment for these variables, the association between the Latino population and COVID-19 cases and deaths was attenuated while the association between the Black population and COVID-19 cases and deaths largely persisted. Policy efforts must seek to address the drivers identified in this study in order to mitigate disparities in COVID-19 cases and deaths across minority communities.
Copyright © 2020 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.
Conflict of interest statement
The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper.
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References
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- Johns Hopkins University Centers for Systems Science and Engineering (CSSE) 2020. Coronavirus COVID-19 Global Cases.https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/map.html Accessed.
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- Kendi I.X. The Atlantic. 2020. What the racial data show.https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2020/04/coronavirus-exposing-o... Accessed.
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- COVID-19 hospitalization and death by race/ethnicity. Center for Disease Control and Prevention. August 18, 2020:2020.
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