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Observational Study
. 2021 May;9(3):886-893.
doi: 10.1111/andr.12956. Epub 2020 Dec 26.

Construction and internal validation of a prediction nomogram for acquired premature ejaculation (APE) in PE patients

Lei Zhang  1 , Xinlong Dun  1 , Guangdong Hou  1 , Yu Zheng  1 , Dongen Ju  1 , Ping Meng  1 , Fei Liu  1 , Jiarui Yuan  2 , Long Jin  3 , Tao Jiang  4 , Ming Gao  5   6 , Jianlin Yuan  1
Affiliations
Observational Study

Construction and internal validation of a prediction nomogram for acquired premature ejaculation (APE) in PE patients

Lei Zhang et al. Andrology. 2021 May.

Abstract

Background: A predictive model for acquired premature ejaculation (APE) in PE patients has not yet been established.

Objectives: This study was aimed at determining which factors were independently associated with the possibility of predicting APE in PE patients, and whether an effective pre-treatment nomogram for predicting their individual chances of being APE in PE patients can be developed.

Materials and methods: We analyzed the medical histories of 915 PE patients diagnosed at Xijing Hospital (Xi'an, China) and Northwest Women's and Children's Hospital (Xi'an, China) between May 2019 and May 2020. The diagnostic nomogram was developed using a multivariate logistic regression model by integrating selected significant variables determined through univariate analysis. Receiver operating characteristic curves were used to measure the predictive accuracy of the nomogram and its constituted variables, and calibrations were performed by making a comparison of nomogram-predicted probability with actual rate of APE.

Results: The independent predictors for APE that were identified include Age, Intra-vaginal Ejaculation Latency Time (IELT), Frequency of sexual desire (FSD), and Eysenck Personality Questionnaire-Revised Short Scale for Chinese (psychoticism) [EPQ-RSC(P)] scores. The predictive accuracy of the nomogram was 0.782 (95% CI: 0.723-0.841). Also, excellent agreement was demonstrated between the nomogram-predicted probability and the actual rate of APE.

Discussion and conclusion: We identified 4 independent predictors for APE and demonstrated the potential significant differences in psychoticism between LPE and APE patients. This was the first internally validated predictive APE nomogram where good discrimination and calibration were applied, and it offers a promising role in clinical practice. More studies are necessary for verification of its universal applicability.

Keywords: EPQ-RSC; nomogram; premature ejaculation.

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Conflict of interest statement

None of the authors have any conflicts of interest to disclose.

Figures

Figure 1
Figure 1
Nomogram for predicting the possibility of APE in PE patients. IELT Intra‐vaginal Ejaculation Latency Time EPQ‐RSC(P) Eysenck Personality Questionnaire‐Revised Short Scale for Chinese(psychoticism) FSD Frequency of sexual desire APE acquired premature ejaculation
Figure 2
Figure 2
Example estimation of the possibility of being APE in a PE patient whose age>25, IELT<1, EPQ‐RSC(P) score was Low, and FSD ≤50%, his total points were calculated to be 148.0 (32.9 + 0 +91.6 + 23.5 = 148.0). Then, his possibility of being APE in PE patients was 87%. IELT Intra‐vaginal Ejaculation Latency Time EPQ‐RSC(P) Eysenck Personality Questionnaire‐Revised Short Scale for Chinese(psychoticism) FSD Frequency of sexual desire APE acquired premature ejaculation
Figure 3
Figure 3
(A) ROC curves of the nomogram and its constituted variables. (B) Calibration plot of the nomogram. The dotted line represents the performance of an ideal nomogram (predicted possibility perfectly corresponds to the actual rate). The red solid line indicates the apparent accuracy of the nomogram without correction for overfitting. The black solid line is the bootstrap‐corrected nomogram. ROC receiver operating characteristic IELT Intra‐vaginal Ejaculation Latency Time EPQ‐RSC(P) Eysenck Personality Questionnaire‐Revised Short Scale for Chinese(psychoticism) FSD Frequency of sexual desire
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