The effect of angiotensin-converting enzyme levels on COVID-19 susceptibility and severity: a Mendelian randomization study

Abstract

Background: There has been uncertainty about the safety or benefit of angiotensin-converting enzyme (ACE) inhibitors during the COVID-19 pandemic. We used Mendelian randomization using genetic determinants of serum-ACE levels to test whether decreased ACE levels increase susceptibility to SARS-CoV-2 infection or COVID-19 severity, while reducing potential bias from confounding and reverse causation in observational studies.

Methods: Genetic variants strongly associated with ACE levels, which were nearby the ACE gene, were identified from the ORIGIN trial and a separate genome-wide association study (GWAS) of ACE levels from the AGES cohort. The ORIGIN trial included 4147 individuals of European and Latino ancestries. Sensitivity analyses were performed using a study of 3200 Icelanders. Cohorts from the COVID-19 Host Genetics Initiative GWAS of up to 960 186 individuals of European ancestry were used for COVID-19 susceptibility, hospitalization and severe-disease outcome.

Results: Genetic variants were identified that explain between 18% and 37% of variance in ACE levels. Using genetic variants from the ORIGIN trial, a standard-deviation decrease in ACE levels was not associated with an increase in COVID-19 susceptibility [odds ratio (OR): 1.02, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.90, 1.15], hospitalization (OR: 0.86, 95% CI: 0.68, 1.08) or severe disease (OR: 0.74, 95% CI: 0.51, 1.06). Using genetic variants from the AGES cohort, the result was similar for susceptibility (OR: 0.98, 95% CI: 0.89, 1.09), hospitalization (OR: 0.86, 95% CI: 0.66, 1.11) and severity (OR: 0.75, 95% CI: 0.50, 1.14). Multiple-sensitivity analyses led to similar results.

Conclusion: Genetically decreased serum ACE levels were not associated with susceptibility to, or severity of, COVID-19 disease. These data suggest that individuals taking ACE inhibitors should not discontinue therapy during the COVID-19 pandemic.

Keywords: ACE inhibitors; COVID-19; Mendelian randomization; angiotensin-converting enzyme.

Figure 1

Point estimate and 95% confidence interval of a 1-standard-deviation decrease in the angiotensin-converting enzyme (ACE) level on Covid-19 susceptibility and severity. For the analysis using the AGES cohort, the estimate can only be used to infer the direction of effect. From top to bottom: primary analysis with linkage-disequilibrium coefficient (r²) <1%, sensitivity analysis with r² <10%, sensitivity analysis with r² <10% without single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) at risk of pleiotropy and sensitivity analysis using the AGES Reykjavik cohort.