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Comment
. 2020 Dec 7:8:614945.
doi: 10.3389/fpubh.2020.614945. eCollection 2020.

Temporary "Circuit Breaker" Lockdowns Could Effectively Delay a COVID-19 Second Wave Infection Peak to Early Spring

Thomas Rawson  1 , Chris Huntingford  2 , Michael B Bonsall  1
Affiliations
Comment

Temporary "Circuit Breaker" Lockdowns Could Effectively Delay a COVID-19 Second Wave Infection Peak to Early Spring

Thomas Rawson et al. Front Public Health. .
No abstract available

Keywords: COVID-19; Circuit Breaker (CB) interruption; health policy; lockdown; mathematical modeling.

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Conflict of interest statement

The authors declare that the research was conducted in the absence of any commercial or financial relationships that could be construed as a potential conflict of interest.

Figures

Figure 1
Figure 1
(A) The infected population through time if a 30-day circuit breaker lockdown is enacted from October 1st 2020. Each curve is for a different R0 value during the lockdown phase, as given in the legend. Once lockdown is ended, an R0 of 1.6 is considered. The dashed line depicts a scenario where no circuit breaker lockdown is enacted, and an infection peak is reached in late January 2021. (B) The number of days that infection peak is delayed by (y-axis) as a result of a temporary lockdown of variable duration (x-axis). Each curve is for a different R0 value during the lockdown phase, as given in the legend. Multiple lockdown effectiveness are considered, including cases where the lockdown does not succeed in lowering R0 below 1.
See this image and copyright information in PMC

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References

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