Prognostic indices for survival during postcardiotomy intra-aortic balloon pumping. Methods of scoring and classification, with implications for left ventricular assist device utilization

Abstract

To define more clearly a salvageable patient for possible utilization of a left ventricular assist device prior to multiple organ failure and irretrievability during postcardiotomy intra-aortic balloon pumping (IABP), we made prospective and retrospective analyses to determine prognostic indices for survival. Serial left ventricular function curves (IABP on-off), scoring methods, hemodynamic and renal function tracking trajectories, survival versus nonsurvival data envelopes, and classification methods were developed and used. All patients requiring postcardiotomy IABP support who were in Class A survived; 80 percent of the patients in Class B survived. All patients who remained in Class C for 12 hours or more following operation with IABP support died. These preliminary analyses suggest that the postcardiotomy IABP-supported patient with a score of less than 6 who remains in Class C for 12 hours or more is at the highest possible risk and is a probably candidate for more effective support with a left ventricular assist device.