Modeling the Epidemic Trend of the 2019 Novel Coronavirus Outbreak in China

Mingwang Shen¹, Zhihang Peng², Yanni Xiao³, Lei Zhang^{1

4

5

6}

Affiliations

¹ China-Australia Joint Research Center for Infectious Diseases, School of Public Health, Xi'an Jiaotong University Health Science Center, Xi'an, Shaanxi, 710061, PR China.
² Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, Jiangsu 210029, PR China.
³ School of Mathematics and Statistics, Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an, Shaanxi 710049, PR China.
⁴ Melbourne Sexual Health Centre, Alfred Health, Melbourne, Australia.
⁵ Central Clinical School, Faculty of Medicine, Nursing and Health Sciences, Monash University, Melbourne, VIC, Australia.
⁶ Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, College of Public Health, Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou 450001, Henan, China.

Mingwang Shen et al. Innovation (Camb). 2020.

. 2020 Nov 25;1(3):100048.

doi: 10.1016/j.xinn.2020.100048. Epub 2020 Sep 28.

Mingwang Shen¹, Zhihang Peng², Yanni Xiao³, Lei Zhang^{1

4

5

6}

¹ China-Australia Joint Research Center for Infectious Diseases, School of Public Health, Xi'an Jiaotong University Health Science Center, Xi'an, Shaanxi, 710061, PR China.
² Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, Jiangsu 210029, PR China.
³ School of Mathematics and Statistics, Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an, Shaanxi 710049, PR China.
⁴ Melbourne Sexual Health Centre, Alfred Health, Melbourne, Australia.
⁵ Central Clinical School, Faculty of Medicine, Nursing and Health Sciences, Monash University, Melbourne, VIC, Australia.
⁶ Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, College of Public Health, Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou 450001, Henan, China.

No abstract available

Figures

1. World Health Organization Coronavirus disease (COVID-2019) situation reports. https://www.who.int/emergencies/diseases/novel-coronavirus-2019/situatio...
1. National Health Commission of China Daily report of COVID-19. http://www.nhc.gov.cn/xcs/xxgzbd/gzbd_index.shtml
1. Zhang J., Litvinova M., Liang Y., et al. Changes in contact patterns shape the dynamics of the COVID-19 outbreak in China. Science. 368, 6498:1481-1486. - PMC - PubMed
1. Liebao K. Mobile robot data: the face mask useage rate reached 97.6% in Wuhan city during the epidemic. http://m.kejixun.com/article/200224/488396.shtml
1. World Health Organization Report of the WHO-China Joint Mission on coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) https://www.who.int/docs/default-source/coronaviruse/who-china-joint-mis...