Future scenarios for the COVID-19 pandemic

Affiliations

¹ Department of Preventive and Social Medicine, University of Otago, Dunedin, New Zealand.
² International Science Council, Paris, France; Koi Tū: The Centre for Informed Futures, University of Auckland, Auckland 1142, New Zealand. Electronic address: pd.gluckman@auckland.ac.nz.
³ International Science Council, Paris, France; Grant Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK.
⁴ International Science Council, Paris, France.
⁵ Centre for the AIDS Programme of Research in South Africa, University of KwaZulu-Natal, Durban, South Africa; Department of Epidemiology, Mailman School of Public Health, Columbia University, New York, NY, USA.
⁶ London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
⁷ Cologne Center for Ethics, Rights, Economics, and Social Sciences of Health, University of Cologne, Cologne, Germany.

David Skegg et al. Lancet. 2021.

. 2021 Feb 27;397(10276):777-778.

doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(21)00424-4. Epub 2021 Feb 16.

¹ Department of Preventive and Social Medicine, University of Otago, Dunedin, New Zealand.
² International Science Council, Paris, France; Koi Tū: The Centre for Informed Futures, University of Auckland, Auckland 1142, New Zealand. Electronic address: pd.gluckman@auckland.ac.nz.
³ International Science Council, Paris, France; Grant Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK.
⁴ International Science Council, Paris, France.
⁵ Centre for the AIDS Programme of Research in South Africa, University of KwaZulu-Natal, Durban, South Africa; Department of Epidemiology, Mailman School of Public Health, Columbia University, New York, NY, USA.
⁶ London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
⁷ Cologne Center for Ethics, Rights, Economics, and Social Sciences of Health, University of Cologne, Cologne, Germany.

No abstract available

Figures

1. Brauner JM, Mindermann S, Sharma M, et al. Inferring the effectiveness of government interventions against COVID-19. Science. 2020 doi: 10.1126/science.abd9338. published online Dec 15. - DOI - PMC - PubMed
1. Allen K, Buklijas T, Chen A, et al. International Network for Government Science Advice; Auckland: 2020. Tracking global evidence-to-policy pathways in the coronavirus crisis: a preliminary report.https://www.ingsa.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/09/INGSA-Evidence-to-Polic...
1. Roser M, Ritchie H, Ortiz-Ospina E, Hasell J. Coronavirus pandemic (COVID-19) 2020. https://ourworldindata.org/coronavirus
1. Haug N, Geyrhofer L, Londei A, et al. Ranking the effectiveness of worldwide COVID-19 government interventions. Nat Human Behav. 2020;4:1303–1312. - PubMed
1. Fontanet A, Autran B, Lina B, Kieny MP, Abdool Karim SS, Sridhar D. SARS-CoV-2 variants and ending the COVID-19 pandemic. Lancet. 2021 doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(21)00370-6. published online Feb 11. - DOI - PMC - PubMed