Incubation period for COVID-19: a systematic review and meta-analysis
- PMID: 33643779
- PMCID: PMC7901514
- DOI: 10.1007/s10389-021-01478-1
Incubation period for COVID-19: a systematic review and meta-analysis
Abstract
Aim: This study aims to conduct a review of the existing literature about incubation period for COVID-19, which can provide insights to the transmission dynamics of the disease.
Methods: A systematic review followed by meta-analysis was performed for the studies providing estimates for the incubation period of COVID-19. The heterogeneity and bias in the included studies were tested by various statistical measures, including I2 statistic, Cochran's Q test, Begg's test and Egger's test.
Results: Fifteen studies with 16 estimates of the incubation period were selected after implementing the inclusion and exclusion criteria. The pooled estimate of the incubation period is 5.74 (5.18, 6.30) from the random effects model. The heterogeneity in the selected studies was found to be 95.2% from the I2 statistic. There is no potential bias in the included studies for meta-analysis.
Conclusion: This review provides sufficient evidence for the incubation period of COVID-19 through various studies, which can be helpful in planning preventive and control measures for the disease. The pooled estimate from the meta-analysis is a valid and reliable estimate of the incubation period for COVID-19.
Keywords: COVID-19; Epidemiology; Incubation period; Infectious disease; Meta-analysis; Systematic review.
© The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer-Verlag GmbH, DE part of Springer Nature 2021.
Conflict of interest statement
Conflict of interestAll the authors declare no conflict of interest.
Figures




Similar articles
-
Estimates of serial interval for COVID-19: A systematic review and meta-analysis.Clin Epidemiol Glob Health. 2021 Jan-Mar;9:157-161. doi: 10.1016/j.cegh.2020.08.007. Epub 2020 Aug 26. Clin Epidemiol Glob Health. 2021. PMID: 32869006 Free PMC article.
-
Estimation of the COVID-19 mean incubation time: Systematic review, meta-analysis, and sensitivity analysis.J Med Virol. 2022 Sep;94(9):4156-4169. doi: 10.1002/jmv.27841. Epub 2022 Jun 16. J Med Virol. 2022. PMID: 35524338 Free PMC article.
-
[Meta analysis of whether cytoreductive surgery combined with hyperthermic intraperitoneal chemotherapy can improve survival in patients with colorectal cancer peritoneal metastasis].Zhonghua Wei Chang Wai Ke Za Zhi. 2021 Mar 25;24(3):256-263. doi: 10.3760/cma.j.cn.441530-20201111-00604. Zhonghua Wei Chang Wai Ke Za Zhi. 2021. PMID: 34645170 Chinese.
-
Mycobacterium simiae pulmonary disease in Iran: systematic review and meta-analysis.New Microbes New Infect. 2018 Sep 22;26:118-123. doi: 10.1016/j.nmni.2018.09.008. eCollection 2018 Nov. New Microbes New Infect. 2018. PMID: 30370055 Free PMC article.
-
Serial interval and incubation period of COVID-19: a systematic review and meta-analysis.BMC Infect Dis. 2021 Mar 11;21(1):257. doi: 10.1186/s12879-021-05950-x. BMC Infect Dis. 2021. PMID: 33706702 Free PMC article.
Cited by
-
Can integrated post-exposure vaccination against SARS-COV2 mitigate severe disease?Lancet Reg Health Eur. 2021 Jun;5:100118. doi: 10.1016/j.lanepe.2021.100118. Epub 2021 May 17. Lancet Reg Health Eur. 2021. PMID: 34027513 Free PMC article. Review. No abstract available.
-
Random resampling numerical simulations applied to a SEIR compartmental model.Eur Phys J Plus. 2021;136(10):1067. doi: 10.1140/epjp/s13360-021-02003-9. Epub 2021 Oct 25. Eur Phys J Plus. 2021. PMID: 34722097 Free PMC article.
-
Estimating infectiousness throughout SARS-CoV-2 infection course.Science. 2021 Jul 9;373(6551):eabi5273. doi: 10.1126/science.abi5273. Epub 2021 May 25. Science. 2021. PMID: 34035154 Free PMC article.
-
COVID-19 in one region of New Zealand: a descriptive epidemiological study.Aust N Z J Public Health. 2022 Dec;46(6):745-750. doi: 10.1111/1753-6405.13305. Epub 2022 Oct 3. Aust N Z J Public Health. 2022. PMID: 36190206 Free PMC article.
-
Modeling pandemic to endemic patterns of SARS-CoV-2 transmission using parameters estimated from animal model data.PNAS Nexus. 2022 Jul 1;1(3):pgac096. doi: 10.1093/pnasnexus/pgac096. eCollection 2022 Jul. PNAS Nexus. 2022. PMID: 35799833 Free PMC article.
References
-
- Ahrens W, Pigeot I, editors. Handbook of epidemiology. New York: Springer; 2014.
-
- Borenstein M, Hedges L, Rothstein H (2007) Meta-analysis: fixed effect vs random effects. Meta-analysis.com. Retrieved from https://www.meta-analysis.com/downloads/Meta-analysis%20fixed%20effect%2.... Accessed on 5 June 2020
-
- Brookmeyer R. Incubation period of infectious diseases. Encyclopedia of biostatistics, vol 3. New York: Wiley; 1998. pp. 2011–2016.
Publication types
LinkOut - more resources
Full Text Sources
Other Literature Sources