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. 2021 Feb 13:24:34-41.
doi: 10.1016/j.jor.2021.02.014. eCollection 2021 Mar-Apr.

Perioperative predictability of unsatisfactory functional outcomes 6 months after hip arthroplasty

Affiliations

Perioperative predictability of unsatisfactory functional outcomes 6 months after hip arthroplasty

Axel Jakuscheit et al. J Orthop. .

Abstract

Background: Aiming at an early identification of patients with an unsatisfactory outcome after hip arthroplasty we investigated the pre-, intra- and early postoperative predictability.

Methods: Using logistic regression models at nine different time points we calculated the area under the curve of the receiver operating characteristic (ROC-AUC) to compare the predictability of an unsatisfactory outcome.

Results: The predictability of unsatisfactory outcomes increased significantly from a ROC-AUC (95% CI) of 0.73 (0.62-0.84) in the preoperative setting to 0.85 (0.77-0.94) on day 2 after surgery.

Conclusion: Most of the patients with unsatisfactory outcomes can be identified during the first days after surgery.

Keywords: Functional outcome; Hip arthroplasty; Postoperative pain; Prediction model.

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Figures

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Fig. 1
Flow chart of patient inclusion.
Fig. 2
Fig. 2
Curves of the receiver operating characteristics to predict an unsatisfactory functional outcome using the logistic regression models at nine different time points.
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